England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 1, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County 		29.2%
42.8%		28.0%
+197
+155
+195
+155
1.02
1.29		2.31
o2¼-103
u2½-147

Games for Nov 30, 2024
Games for Dec 6, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+698
-259
+625
-245
3.00
o2¾-120
u3-120

2nd H
90:00		0
4
Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+375
-138
+355
-135
2.72
o2½-117
u2½+106

2nd H
87:00		2
1
Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+250
+113
+260
+105
2.47
o2½-120
u2¾-122

2nd H
89:00		2
4
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+142
+209
+125
+230
2.28
o2-125
u2+112

2nd H
89:00		1
1
Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+135
+224
+130
+225
2.17
o2¼+103
u2¼-120

2nd H
89:00		2
0
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+330
-116
+345
-125
2.82
o2½-106
u2½-105

2nd H
88:00		2
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Coventry City
Millwall		26.0%
46.1%		27.8%
+223
+152
+215
+140
2
3		-0.94688-0.92576-0.77336
Queens Park Rangers
Sunderland		31.9%
40.8%		27.3%
+264
+116
+250
+110
2
2		-1.26553-1.28884-1.29850
Bristol City
Wigan Athletic		31.6%
41.7%		26.7%
+248
+125
+250
+115
1
1		-1.24935-1.25713-1.32036
Birmingham City
Cardiff City		21.2%
54.9%		23.9%
+256
+125
+260
+110
0
1		-0.83713-0.79308-0.59944
Burnley
Watford		37.4%
32.8%		29.8%
+222
+145
+205
+140
0
1		-0.91942-0.92637-1.11380
Watford
West Bromwich Albion		26.5%
46.3%		27.2%
+201
+151
+205
+140
1
1		-1.22489-1.22960-1.30239
Cardiff City
Reading		34.7%
38.1%		27.2%
+207
+155
+210
+140
1
2		-0.96414-0.92591-0.96522
Blackpool
Stoke City		15.5%
62.5%		22.0%
+272
+112
+275
+105
0
2		-0.78463-0.76947-0.47052
Blackburn
Swansea City		23.8%
50.9%		25.4%
+202
+162
+210
+135
3
0		-1.12006-1.18127-1.43633
Hull City
Preston North End		17.8%
59.6%		22.6%
+327
-105
+320
-110
0
0		-1.27604-1.28884-1.48864
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		30.6%
42.3%		27.1%
+149
+201
+135
+205
2
3		-1.13550-1.16575-0.86008
Millwall
Sheffield United		13.8%
64.1%		22.0%
+363
-109
+370
-120
0
2		-0.68130-0.65716-0.44412
Sunderland
Bristol City		23.0%
52.3%		24.7%
+211
+140
+210
+135
3
2		-1.17070-1.17276-1.47002
Luton Town
Burnley		11.9%
68.8%		19.2%
+400
-129
+395
-135
1
1		-1.32324-1.33378-1.64901
Wigan Athletic
Norwich City		12.6%
68.4%		19.0%
+423
-138
+400
-135
1
1		-1.36469-1.33184-1.65931
Sheffield United
Watford		34.7%
34.7%		30.6%
+228
+135
+210
+135
0
1		-0.88731-0.90429-1.05869
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-1-2 (0.600)0-1.11083 
Sportsbooks52-1-2 (0.600)0-1.10161 
DRatings52-1-2 (0.600)0-1.02289
0.08794
0.07872

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.