England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81
2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Preston North End
27.1%
45.3%
27.6%
+187
+154
+180
+150
0
3
-0.96861-0.96627-0.79175
Portsmouth
Stoke City
13.9%
65.8%
20.2%
+340
-115
+310
-115
1
6
-0.65832-0.67360-0.41787
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion
35.7%
35.6%
28.7%
+205
+138
+220
+130
1
0
-1.15154-1.20371-1.03092
Oxford United
Luton Town
15.7%
63.5%
20.8%
+407
-147
+400
-155
2
2
-1.44100-1.46145-1.56906
Leeds United
Norwich City
42.7%
30.4%
27.0%
+111
+265
+100
+270
1
1
-1.29612-1.31759-1.31019
Blackburn
Coventry City
19.7%
56.6%
23.7%
+260
+110
+245
+115
0
3
-0.77699-0.81340-0.56955
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers
29.4%
44.0%
26.5%
+175
+160
+165
+165
3
1
-1.04819-1.02223-1.22268
Derby County
Sunderland
23.8%
50.1%
26.1%
+462
-157
+425
-150
0
2
-0.53215-0.55982-0.69133
Millwall
Cardiff City
27.6%
45.2%
27.2%
+132
+235
+150
+210
0
1
-1.24733-1.18061-0.79310
Plymouth Argyle
Burnley
8.7%
75.9%
15.4%
+545
-207
+590
-235
0
1
-0.43319-0.40381-0.27550
Bristol City
Swansea City
26.9%
47.5%
25.6%
+188
+142
+195
+135
1
1
-1.31640-1.30177-1.36102
Cardiff City
Hull City
24.0%
50.9%
25.0%
+337
-115
+320
-120
1
4
-0.65425-0.65857-0.67491
Preston North End
Millwall
23.9%
49.4%
26.7%
+330
-101
+330
-105
1
3
-0.71947-0.72017-0.70488
Burnley
Oxford United
48.7%
25.5%
25.8%
+126
+245
+105
+255
0
0
-1.28699-1.31688-1.35565
Sunderland
Watford
26.7%
46.2%
27.0%
+140
+210
+125
+210
1
2
-1.15059-1.18280-0.77174
Sheffield United
Portsmouth
44.3%
27.9%
27.8%
-115
+329
-125
+320
0
0
-1.39655-1.40985-1.27895
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.