Watford at Middlesbrough

Updated

Watford

19.4%23.6%57.0%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.73
1Final Score 3

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+135
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
L 2-3 at Southampton+600
T 0-0 at Ipswich Town+525
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 4-1 at Cardiff City-125
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+400
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+315
T 2-2 at Hull City+190
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+300+329+310+265+332+265+332+293.9
Middlesbrough-120-130-135-128-138-128-128-108.4
Draw+270+314+310+310+325+310+325+342.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+325---+315+340+340+293.9
Middlesbrough-130----160-140-140-108.4
Draw+300---+270+315+315+342.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +329 to +321
Middlesbrough ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 50.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +355 to +330
Middlesbrough ML moved from -130 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3-134o3¼+102o3¼+100o3¼+101o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+109
Underu2¾-102u3+114u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-119u3¼-120u3+114u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-110
The Under moved from u2¾-118 to u2½-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.20%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.95%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 040.67%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.46%
Exactly 34.94%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 017.71%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 315.31%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.58%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.93%
Exactly 127.46%
Exactly 25.72%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 044.87%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.41%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals31.91%
Wins by 3+ goals14.31%
Wins by 4+ goals5.25%
Wins by 5+ goals1.60%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.05%
Wins by 2 goals17.60%
Wins by 3 goals9.06%
Wins by 4 goals3.65%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.80%7.20%
1.573.85%26.15%
2.548.92%51.08%
3.527.07%72.93%
4.512.69%87.31%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.33%40.67%
1.522.74%77.26%
2.56.28%93.72%
3.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.29%17.71%
1.551.63%48.37%
2.525.10%74.90%
3.59.79%90.21%
4.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.42%29.58%
1.534.39%65.61%
2.512.44%87.56%
3.53.53%96.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
7.20%
12.47%
10.79%
6.23%
2.69%
0.93%
1
6.48%
11.22%
9.71%
5.60%
2.42%
0.84%
2
2.92%
5.05%
4.37%
2.52%
1.09%
0.38%
3
0.87%
1.51%
1.31%
0.76%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.20%
0.34%
0.29%
0.17%
0.07%
0.03%
Watford
1-06.48%
2-02.92%
2-15.05%
3-00.87%
3-11.51%
3-21.31%
4-00.20%
4-10.34%
4-20.29%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.20%
1-111.22%
2-24.37%
3-30.76%
Middlesbrough
0-112.47%
0-210.79%
1-29.71%
0-36.23%
1-35.60%
2-32.52%
0-42.69%
1-42.42%
2-41.09%
3-40.33%
0-50.93%
1-50.84%
2-50.38%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
29.58%
23.71%
9.50%
2.54%
0.51%
1
12.32%
9.88%
3.96%
1.06%
0.21%
2
2.57%
2.06%
0.82%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.36%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-012.32%
2-02.57%
2-12.06%
3-00.36%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.58%
1-19.88%
2-20.82%
Middlesbrough
0-123.71%
0-29.50%
1-23.96%
0-32.54%
1-31.06%
2-30.22%
0-40.51%
1-40.21%
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