Southampton at Middlesbrough

Updated

Southampton

22.6%23.7%53.6%
Southampton WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.73
1Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Ipswich Town+130
L 4-1 vs Leicester City+140
L 0-5 at Sunderland+140
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-300
W 2-1 at Plymouth Argyle-130
Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+110
L 1-2 at Blackburn+185
L 2-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-180
L 2-4 at West Bromwich Albion+220
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+165+206+200+181+182+181+206+204.1
Middlesbrough+165+127+125+123+123+123+127+141.3
Draw+220+266+250+260+260+260+266+289.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+150---+160+200+200+204.1
Middlesbrough+135---+120+120+120+141.3
Draw+230---+245+275+275+289.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +191 to +180
Middlesbrough ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +185 to +175
Middlesbrough ML moved from +140 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+110o3+105o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-109
Underu2¾-112u3-130u3-125u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+100u3-125u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-127 to o2¾-118
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2½+107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.34%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.41%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 017.73%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 315.30%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 061.90%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 044.89%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 214.40%
Exactly 33.84%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals8.15%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals29.57%
Wins by 3+ goals13.11%
Wins by 4+ goals4.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.44%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal14.39%
Wins by 2 goals5.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals16.46%
Wins by 3 goals8.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.30%23.70%
2.552.23%47.77%
3.530.04%69.96%
4.514.70%85.30%
5.56.22%93.78%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.51%35.49%
1.527.74%72.26%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.27%17.73%
1.551.60%48.40%
2.525.07%74.93%
3.59.77%90.23%
4.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.63%63.37%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.29%
10.89%
9.42%
5.43%
2.35%
0.81%
1
6.52%
11.28%
9.75%
5.62%
2.43%
0.84%
2
3.38%
5.84%
5.05%
2.91%
1.26%
0.44%
3
1.17%
2.02%
1.74%
1.01%
0.43%
0.15%
4
0.30%
0.52%
0.45%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Southampton
1-06.52%
2-03.38%
2-15.84%
3-01.17%
3-12.02%
3-21.74%
4-00.30%
4-10.52%
4-20.45%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-111.28%
2-25.05%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Middlesbrough
0-110.89%
0-29.42%
1-29.75%
0-35.43%
1-35.62%
2-32.91%
0-42.35%
1-42.43%
2-41.26%
3-40.43%
0-50.81%
1-50.84%
2-50.44%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
27.79%
22.26%
8.91%
2.38%
0.48%
1
13.33%
10.67%
4.27%
1.14%
0.23%
2
3.20%
2.56%
1.03%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.51%
0.41%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Southampton
1-013.33%
2-03.20%
2-12.56%
3-00.51%
3-10.41%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.79%
1-110.67%
2-21.03%
Middlesbrough
0-122.26%
0-28.91%
1-24.27%
0-32.38%
1-31.14%
2-30.27%
0-40.48%
1-40.23%
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