Stoke City at Luton Town

Updated

Stoke City

24.9%26.3%48.8%
Stoke City WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Reading-110
L 1-3 at Sheffield United+360
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+110
L 1-0 vs Burnley+265
T 2-2 at Rotherham United+125
Luton Town
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+110
W 2-0 at Wigan Athletic+140
L 3-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+205
W 2-1 at Huddersfield+145
W 3-0 at Queens Park Rangers+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+226+240+230+220+242+220+242+250.8
Luton Town+127+128+125+124+136+124+136+142.1
Draw+240+225+205+205+223+205+225+231.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+235---+220+240+240+250.8
Luton Town+120---+105+125+125+142.1
Draw+235---+205+220+220+231.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +251 to +242
Luton Town ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-136o2¼+108o2¼+108o2-129o2¼+108o2-129o2-121
Underu2½-138u2+116u2¼-128u2¼-128u2+114u2¼-128u2¼-128u2+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-121
Under-----u2+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.24%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.30%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 037.93%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 022.93%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.28%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.84%
Exactly 128.65%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 050.57%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals24.33%
Wins by 3+ goals9.53%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.07%
Wins by 2 goals6.41%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.80%
Wins by 3 goals6.54%
Wins by 4 goals2.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.06%29.94%
2.544.13%55.87%
3.523.01%76.99%
4.510.12%89.88%
5.53.83%96.17%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.07%37.93%
1.525.30%74.70%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.07%22.93%
1.543.30%56.70%
2.518.43%81.57%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.72%32.28%
1.531.22%68.78%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.70%
12.81%
9.43%
4.63%
1.70%
0.50%
1
8.43%
12.42%
9.14%
4.49%
1.65%
0.49%
2
4.09%
6.02%
4.43%
2.18%
0.80%
0.24%
3
1.32%
1.94%
1.43%
0.70%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.32%
0.47%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.43%
2-04.09%
2-16.02%
3-01.32%
3-11.94%
3-21.43%
4-00.32%
4-10.47%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.42%
2-24.43%
3-30.70%
Luton Town
0-112.81%
0-29.43%
1-29.14%
0-34.63%
1-34.49%
2-32.18%
0-41.70%
1-41.65%
2-40.80%
3-40.26%
0-50.50%
1-50.49%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.28%
22.01%
7.50%
1.71%
0.29%
1
14.49%
9.88%
3.37%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.25%
2.22%
0.76%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-014.49%
2-03.25%
2-12.22%
3-00.49%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.28%
1-19.88%
2-20.76%
Luton Town
0-122.01%
0-27.50%
1-23.37%
0-31.71%
1-30.77%
2-30.17%
0-40.29%
1-40.13%
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