Plymouth Argyle at Derby County

Updated

Plymouth Argyle

19.7%23.4%56.9%
WinDrawDerby County Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.76
1Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth+135
L 0-3 at Leeds United+1500
T 3-3 vs Preston North End+180
L 0-1 at Millwall+460
L 0-5 at Cardiff City+260
Derby County
Money Line
W 2-1 at Coventry City+460
L 1-2 at Stoke City+240
T 1-1 vs Hull City+125
T 1-1 at Oxford United+170
T 1-1 at Millwall+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+348+376+370+325+386+325+386+359.0
Derby County-131-136-145-139-148-139-136-116.7
Draw+301+294+275+280+287+280+294+310.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+420---+375+370+375+359.0
Derby County-155----180-140-140-116.7
Draw+300---+265+290+290+310.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +360 to +350
Derby County ML moved from -135 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Plymouth Argyle: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +420 to +370
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-126o2½-127o2¾+102o2½-116o2½-121o2½-116o2½-116o2½-105
Underu2½+107u2½+108u2¾-122u2½-104u2½-101u2½-104u2¾-122u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.81%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.30%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 039.52%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 017.24%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 315.61%
Exactly 46.86%
Exactly 52.41%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.83%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 065.06%
Exactly 127.96%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 044.31%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.68%
Exactly 33.98%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals6.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals32.09%
Wins by 3+ goals14.52%
Wins by 4+ goals5.39%
Wins by 5+ goals1.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Plymouth Argyle
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal13.09%
Wins by 2 goals4.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal24.80%
Wins by 2 goals17.56%
Wins by 3 goals9.14%
Wins by 4 goals3.73%
Wins by 5 goals1.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.19%6.81%
1.574.89%25.11%
2.550.31%49.69%
3.528.29%71.71%
4.513.51%86.49%
5.55.57%94.43%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.48%39.52%
1.523.79%76.21%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.76%17.24%
1.552.46%47.54%
2.525.82%74.18%
3.510.21%89.79%
4.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.17%28.83%
1.535.32%64.68%
2.513.02%86.98%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Plymouth Argyle
Derby County
Score012345
0
6.81%
11.98%
10.53%
6.17%
2.71%
0.95%
1
6.32%
11.12%
9.77%
5.73%
2.52%
0.89%
2
2.94%
5.16%
4.54%
2.66%
1.17%
0.41%
3
0.91%
1.60%
1.40%
0.82%
0.36%
0.13%
4
0.21%
0.37%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Plymouth Argyle
1-06.32%
2-02.94%
2-15.16%
3-00.91%
3-11.60%
3-21.40%
4-00.21%
4-10.37%
4-20.33%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.81%
1-111.12%
2-24.54%
3-30.82%
Derby County
0-111.98%
0-210.53%
1-29.77%
0-36.17%
1-35.73%
2-32.66%
0-42.71%
1-42.52%
2-41.17%
3-40.36%
0-50.95%
1-50.89%
2-50.41%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Plymouth Argyle
Derby County
Score01234
0
28.83%
23.47%
9.55%
2.59%
0.53%
1
12.39%
10.09%
4.11%
1.11%
0.23%
2
2.66%
2.17%
0.88%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.31%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Plymouth Argyle
1-012.39%
2-02.66%
2-12.17%
3-00.38%
3-10.31%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.83%
1-110.09%
2-20.88%
Derby County
0-123.47%
0-29.55%
1-24.11%
0-32.59%
1-31.11%
2-30.24%
0-40.53%
1-40.23%
Millwall at Stoke City
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