Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

23.6%26.0%50.4%
Stoke City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 3

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+295
L 1-0 vs Bristol City-145
W 3-1 at West Bromwich Albion+325
L 1-2 at Reading+170
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City-190
T 1-1 at Swansea City+135
L 2-0 vs Huddersfield-125
T 0-0 at Bournemouth+300
L 1-0 vs Hull City-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+275+370+335+380+320+335+380+392.1
Middlesbrough+105-135-135-135-133-135-135-121.6
Draw+235+265+265+306+300+265+306+303.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+290---+300+380+380+392.1
Middlesbrough-110----145-145-145-121.6
Draw+270---+250+300+300+303.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +384 to +375
Middlesbrough ML moved from -127 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Middlesbrough ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-108o2½-109o2½-102-o2½-109o2½-102o2½+104
Underu2¼+102u2½-112u2½-111u2½-113-u2½-111u2½-111u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.62%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 412.96%
Exactly 62.60%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.13%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.93%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.32%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 022.15%
Exactly 133.38%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 312.65%
Exactly 44.77%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.15%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.61%
Exactly 128.22%
Exactly 26.16%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 049.76%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 212.12%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.12%
Wins by 3+ goals2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals25.57%
Wins by 3+ goals10.22%
Wins by 4+ goals3.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal15.46%
Wins by 2 goals6.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.71%
Wins by 2 goals15.35%
Wins by 3 goals6.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.38%8.62%
1.570.25%29.75%
2.544.35%55.65%
3.523.20%76.80%
4.510.24%89.76%
5.53.88%96.12%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.07%38.93%
1.524.34%75.66%
2.57.02%92.98%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.85%22.15%
1.544.47%55.53%
2.519.31%80.69%
3.56.66%93.34%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.85%32.15%
1.531.37%68.63%
2.510.67%89.33%
3.52.84%97.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
8.62%
13.00%
9.80%
4.92%
1.86%
0.56%
1
8.13%
12.26%
9.24%
4.64%
1.75%
0.53%
2
3.84%
5.78%
4.36%
2.19%
0.83%
0.25%
3
1.21%
1.82%
1.37%
0.69%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.28%
0.43%
0.32%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.13%
2-03.84%
2-15.78%
3-01.21%
3-11.82%
3-21.37%
4-00.28%
4-10.43%
4-20.32%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.62%
1-112.26%
2-24.36%
3-30.69%
Middlesbrough
0-113.00%
0-29.80%
1-29.24%
0-34.92%
1-34.64%
2-32.19%
0-41.86%
1-41.75%
2-40.83%
3-40.26%
0-50.56%
1-50.53%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
32.15%
22.44%
7.83%
1.82%
0.32%
1
14.04%
9.80%
3.42%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.07%
2.14%
0.75%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-014.04%
2-03.07%
2-12.14%
3-00.45%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.15%
1-19.80%
2-20.75%
Middlesbrough
0-122.44%
0-27.83%
1-23.42%
0-31.82%
1-30.80%
2-30.17%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%
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