Manchester City at Chelsea

Updated

Manchester City

54.1%24.3%21.7%
Manchester City WinDrawChelsea Win
1.68Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs West Ham United-1750
W 2-0 at Tottenham-280
W 4-0 at Fulham-457
W 1-5 vs Wolverhampton-1250
W 2-0 at Nottingham Forest-360
Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth-225
W 2-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+102
W 3-2 at Nottingham Forest-120
W 0-5 vs West Ham United-170
W 0-2 vs Tottenham+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-112-102-105-104-106-104-102+103.0
Chelsea+289+263+250+282+283+282+283+295.3
Draw+294+283+285+280+287+280+287+293.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-120--105-120-130+100+100+103.0
Chelsea+290-+258+270+245+255+270+295.3
Draw+300-+283+270+270+275+283+293.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -105
Chelsea ML moved from +270 to +264

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +100 to -105
Chelsea ML moved from +265 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-136o3-119o3-122o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-111o3-103
Underu3+115u3+101u3+102u3-105u3-103u3-105u3+102u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-120o3-115o3-115o3-125o3-115o3-115o3-103
Underu3+110u3+100u3-105u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+100u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.84%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.63%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 018.73%
Exactly 131.37%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 314.67%
Exactly 46.14%
Exactly 52.06%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 038.11%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 046.04%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.85%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 063.98%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 26.38%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals29.42%
Wins by 3+ goals12.80%
Wins by 4+ goals4.55%
Wins by 5+ goals1.34%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals7.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals16.62%
Wins by 3 goals8.25%
Wins by 4 goals3.21%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal14.17%
Wins by 2 goals5.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.02%25.98%
2.549.15%50.85%
3.527.27%72.73%
4.512.83%87.17%
5.55.20%94.80%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.27%18.73%
1.549.90%50.10%
2.523.62%76.38%
3.58.95%91.05%
4.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.89%38.11%
1.525.13%74.87%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score01234
0
7.14%
6.89%
3.32%
1.07%
0.26%
1
11.96%
11.53%
5.56%
1.79%
0.43%
2
10.01%
9.66%
4.66%
1.50%
0.36%
3
5.59%
5.39%
2.60%
0.84%
0.20%
4
2.34%
2.26%
1.09%
0.35%
0.08%
5
0.78%
0.76%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.96%
2-010.01%
2-19.66%
3-05.59%
3-15.39%
3-22.60%
4-02.34%
4-12.26%
4-21.09%
4-30.35%
5-00.78%
5-10.76%
5-20.37%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-111.53%
2-24.66%
3-30.84%
Chelsea
0-16.89%
0-23.32%
1-25.56%
0-31.07%
1-31.79%
2-31.50%
0-40.26%
1-40.43%
2-40.36%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Chelsea
Score0123
0
29.46%
13.16%
2.94%
0.44%
1
22.85%
10.20%
2.28%
0.34%
2
8.86%
3.96%
0.88%
0.13%
3
2.29%
1.02%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.44%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-022.85%
2-08.86%
2-13.96%
3-02.29%
3-11.02%
3-20.23%
4-00.44%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.46%
1-110.20%
2-20.88%
Chelsea
0-113.16%
0-22.94%
1-22.28%
0-30.44%
1-30.34%
2-30.13%