Wolves at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

22.5%25.1%52.4%
Wolves WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+325
W 2-1 at Everton+195
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+525
L 3-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+265
T 1-1 at Brentford+250
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-0 at Tottenham+420
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+360
W 2-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+400
W 1-3 vs Manchester United+230
L 0-4 at Newcastle United+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+250+326+310+325+330+325+330+338.9
Aston Villa+105-107-110-108-102-108-102+102.2
Draw+255+246+250+256+253+256+256+260.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+280-+293-+285+300+300+338.9
Aston Villa-105--106--135-105-105+102.2
Draw+265-+253-+240+250+253+260.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +339 to +331
Aston Villa ML moved from +101 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +305 to +293
Aston Villa ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½+118o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+121o2¼-110o2¼-110o2½+127
Underu2¼+105u2½-140u2¼-110u2¼-106u2½-136u2¼-106u2½-136u2½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+120o2½+120-o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2½+127
Underu2½-125u2½-140u2½-140-u2½-140u2½-140u2½-140u2½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.88%
Exactly 225.44%
Exactly 413.68%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.03%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.95%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 038.74%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.42%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 020.35%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 313.69%
Exactly 45.45%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.84%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 064.46%
Exactly 128.30%
Exactly 26.21%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.85%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 213.00%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals7.70%
Wins by 3+ goals2.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.66%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.95%
Wins by 5+ goals1.12%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal14.73%
Wins by 2 goals5.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals16.07%
Wins by 3 goals7.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.12%7.88%
1.572.09%27.91%
2.546.65%53.35%
3.525.11%74.89%
4.511.43%88.57%
5.54.48%95.52%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.26%38.74%
1.524.52%75.48%
2.57.10%92.90%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.65%20.35%
1.547.26%52.74%
2.521.46%78.54%
3.57.77%92.23%
4.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.16%30.84%
1.532.88%67.12%
2.511.54%88.46%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.88%
12.55%
9.99%
5.30%
2.11%
0.67%
1
7.48%
11.90%
9.48%
5.03%
2.00%
0.64%
2
3.54%
5.64%
4.49%
2.38%
0.95%
0.30%
3
1.12%
1.78%
1.42%
0.75%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.27%
0.42%
0.34%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Wolverhampton
1-07.48%
2-03.54%
2-15.64%
3-01.12%
3-11.78%
3-21.42%
4-00.27%
4-10.42%
4-20.34%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-07.88%
1-111.90%
2-24.49%
3-30.75%
Aston Villa
0-112.55%
0-29.99%
1-29.48%
0-35.30%
1-35.03%
2-32.38%
0-42.11%
1-42.00%
2-40.95%
3-40.30%
0-50.67%
1-50.64%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
30.84%
22.74%
8.38%
2.06%
0.38%
1
13.54%
9.98%
3.68%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.97%
2.19%
0.81%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.44%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Wolverhampton
1-013.54%
2-02.97%
2-12.19%
3-00.44%
3-10.32%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.84%
1-19.98%
2-20.81%
Aston Villa
0-122.74%
0-28.38%
1-23.68%
0-32.06%
1-30.90%
2-30.20%
0-40.38%
1-40.17%