Chelsea at Brighton

Updated

Chelsea

39.5%28.3%32.2%
Chelsea WinDrawBrighton Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.07
0Final Score 3

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-368
L 1-3 at Manchester City+215
W 1-3 vs Wolverhampton-253
T 2-2 vs Bournemouth-200
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+100
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 0-7 at Nottingham Forest+185
L 1-0 vs Everton-150
W 3-1 at Manchester United+220
W 2-0 at Ipswich Town+105
T 1-1 vs Arsenal+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+125+134+135+128+131+128+135+136.3
Brighton+206+197+190+199+191+199+199+209.8
Draw+272+264+265+280+259+280+280+293.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+125-+140+130+120+140+140+136.3
Brighton+195-+195+175+185+180+185+209.8
Draw+265-+259+250+255+260+260+293.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +145 to +138
Brighton ML moved from +188 to +182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML
Brighton ML moved from +185 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-111o3-105o3-106o3-113o3-106o3-105o3+102
Underu3+115u3-105u3-115u3-110u3-107u3-110u3-105u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-105o3-105o3-115o3-115o3-105o3-105o3+102
Underu3-105u3-115u3-115u3-105u3-115u3-115u3-105u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.07%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.65%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 029.45%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 034.18%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.54%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.91%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 056.78%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.09%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 060.83%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals17.15%
Wins by 3+ goals5.75%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals12.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals11.40%
Wins by 3 goals4.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal19.63%
Wins by 2 goals8.79%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.93%10.07%
1.566.82%33.18%
2.540.29%59.71%
3.519.98%80.02%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.55%29.45%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.82%34.18%
1.529.13%70.87%
2.59.43%90.57%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.46%34.54%
1.528.74%71.26%
2.59.22%90.78%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
10.07%
10.81%
5.80%
2.08%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.31%
13.21%
7.09%
2.54%
0.68%
0.15%
2
7.52%
8.07%
4.33%
1.55%
0.42%
0.09%
3
3.06%
3.29%
1.77%
0.63%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.94%
1.01%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-012.31%
2-07.52%
2-18.07%
3-03.06%
3-13.29%
3-21.77%
4-00.94%
4-11.01%
4-20.54%
4-30.19%
5-00.23%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.07%
1-113.21%
2-24.33%
3-30.63%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-110.81%
0-25.80%
1-27.09%
0-32.08%
1-32.54%
2-31.55%
0-40.56%
1-40.68%
2-40.42%
3-40.17%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
34.54%
17.17%
4.27%
0.71%
1
19.55%
9.72%
2.41%
0.40%
2
5.53%
2.75%
0.68%
0.11%
3
1.04%
0.52%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-019.55%
2-05.53%
2-12.75%
3-01.04%
3-10.52%
3-20.13%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.54%
1-19.72%
2-20.68%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-117.17%
0-24.27%
1-22.41%
0-30.71%
1-30.40%
2-30.11%