Manchester City at Arsenal

Updated

Manchester City

50.7%24.7%24.7%
Manchester City WinDrawArsenal Win
1.63Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 1

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton-265
W 0-2 vs Nottingham Forest-680
W 3-1 at West Ham United-175
W 1-5 vs Fulham-600
W 2-1 at Sheffield United-490
Arsenal
Money Line
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-190
T 2-2 vs Tottenham-155
W 1-0 at Everton-180
W 1-3 vs Manchester United-130
T 2-2 vs Fulham-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+145+153+145+152+152+152+153+160.8
Arsenal+175+194+195+200+200+200+200+210.5
Draw+255+229+230+228+228+228+230+239.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+135-+144-+135+145+146+160.8
Arsenal+200-+197-+155+200+200+210.5
Draw+245-+233-+225+225+233+239.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +153 to +140
Arsenal ML moved from +205 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +155 to +145
Arsenal ML moved from +175 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½+101o2¼-125o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2¼-125o2½+111
Underu2¾-112u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-119u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½+105o2½+100-o2½-120o2½+105o2½+105o2½+111
Underu2½+105u2½-125u2½-120-u2½-110u2½-125u2½-110u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.79%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 019.61%
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.13%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 034.69%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 047.03%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.38%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 061.25%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals26.81%
Wins by 3+ goals11.33%
Wins by 4+ goals3.91%
Wins by 5+ goals1.12%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals9.11%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Arsenal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals15.48%
Wins by 3 goals7.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal15.48%
Wins by 2 goals6.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.91%25.09%
2.550.34%49.66%
3.528.32%71.68%
4.513.53%86.47%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.39%19.61%
1.548.44%51.56%
2.522.42%77.58%
3.58.29%91.71%
4.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.31%34.69%
1.528.58%71.42%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.34%64.66%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score01234
0
6.80%
7.20%
3.81%
1.35%
0.36%
1
11.08%
11.73%
6.21%
2.19%
0.58%
2
9.03%
9.56%
5.06%
1.79%
0.47%
3
4.90%
5.19%
2.75%
0.97%
0.26%
4
2.00%
2.11%
1.12%
0.39%
0.10%
5
0.65%
0.69%
0.36%
0.13%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-011.08%
2-09.03%
2-19.56%
3-04.90%
3-15.19%
3-22.75%
4-02.00%
4-12.11%
4-21.12%
4-30.39%
5-00.65%
5-10.69%
5-20.36%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-111.73%
2-25.06%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Arsenal
0-17.20%
0-23.81%
1-26.21%
0-31.35%
1-32.19%
2-31.79%
0-40.36%
1-40.58%
2-40.47%
3-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score0123
0
28.81%
14.12%
3.46%
0.57%
1
21.73%
10.65%
2.61%
0.43%
2
8.20%
4.02%
0.98%
0.16%
3
2.06%
1.01%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.39%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-021.73%
2-08.20%
2-14.02%
3-02.06%
3-11.01%
3-20.25%
4-00.39%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-028.81%
1-110.65%
2-20.98%
Arsenal
0-114.12%
0-23.46%
1-22.61%
0-30.57%
1-30.43%
2-30.16%