Chelsea at Brighton

Updated

Chelsea

37.6%28.8%33.5%
Chelsea WinDrawBrighton Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 4

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+120
T 0-0 at Brentford-115
W 2-0 at Aston Villa+100
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-217
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace-135
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 1-3 at Manchester City+1225
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-275
L 0-2 at Brentford+125
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+160
T 3-3 at Liverpool+578

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+135+139+135+140+137+140+140+150.0
Brighton+205+208+205+210+193+210+210+221.5
Draw+230+237+240+240+234+240+240+246.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+150-+136-+115+135+136+150.0
Brighton+190-+204-+190+205+205+221.5
Draw+225-+234-+215+235+235+246.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +140 to +130
Brighton ML moved from +208 to +201

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +120 to +110
Brighton ML moved from +195 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-106o2½+102o2½+102-o2½+102o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½-110u2½-112u2½-122u2½-118-u2½-118u2½-112u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+110o2½+108-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+110o2½+109
Underu2½-120u2½-130u2½-128-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-113 to u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.69%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.14%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.90%
Exactly 319.92%
Exactly 54.98%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 031.37%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 034.06%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.51%
Exactly 219.03%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 058.46%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 060.74%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals15.72%
Wins by 3+ goals5.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals13.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.91%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal20.35%
Wins by 2 goals9.21%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.31%10.69%
1.565.42%34.58%
2.538.70%61.30%
3.518.78%81.22%
4.57.65%92.35%
5.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.63%31.37%
1.532.26%67.74%
2.511.18%88.82%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.94%34.06%
1.529.25%70.75%
2.59.50%90.50%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.49%35.51%
1.527.73%72.27%
2.58.69%91.31%
3.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
10.69%
11.51%
6.20%
2.22%
0.60%
0.13%
1
12.39%
13.34%
7.18%
2.58%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.18%
7.73%
4.16%
1.49%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.78%
2.99%
1.61%
0.58%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.80%
0.87%
0.47%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-012.39%
2-07.18%
2-17.73%
3-02.78%
3-12.99%
3-21.61%
4-00.80%
4-10.87%
4-20.47%
4-30.17%
5-00.19%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.69%
1-113.34%
2-24.16%
3-30.58%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.51%
0-26.20%
1-27.18%
0-32.22%
1-32.58%
2-31.49%
0-40.60%
1-40.69%
2-40.40%
3-40.16%
0-50.13%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
35.51%
17.71%
4.41%
0.73%
1
19.06%
9.50%
2.37%
0.39%
2
5.12%
2.55%
0.64%
0.11%
3
0.92%
0.46%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-019.06%
2-05.12%
2-12.55%
3-00.92%
3-10.46%
3-20.11%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-035.51%
1-19.50%
2-20.64%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-117.71%
0-24.41%
1-22.37%
0-30.73%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%