Manchester Utd at Crystal Palace

Updated

Manchester United

35.0%28.8%36.2%
Manchester Utd WinDrawCrystal Palace Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 4

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Burnley-200
W 2-4 vs Sheffield United-330
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+173
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+410
L 3-4 at Chelsea+282
Crystal Palace
Money Line
T 1-1 at Fulham+255
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United+200
W 2-5 vs West Ham United+130
W 1-0 at Liverpool+1300
L 4-2 vs Manchester City+1245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+164+249+250+252+258+252+258+264.2
Crystal Palace+151+102-105+101+100+101+102+108.0
Draw+281+288+280+295+293+295+295+308.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+175-+260+180+215+225+260+264.2
Crystal Palace+140--108+110-115+105+110+108.0
Draw+270-+290+260+265+290+290+308.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +208 to +202
Crystal Palace ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +225 to +215
Crystal Palace ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-132o3-130o3-122o3-118o3-120o3-118o3-118o3-109
Underu3+112u3+110u3+102u3+102u3+104u3+102u3+110u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-140o3-135o3-130o3-135o3-130o3-130o3-109
Underu3+100u3+120u3+115u3+110u3+105u3+110u3+120u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½+120
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.64%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.17%
Exactly 61.87%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.84%
Exactly 319.94%
Exactly 55.00%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 033.01%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 032.24%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.65%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.44%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 059.86%
Exactly 130.72%
Exactly 27.88%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 059.21%
Exactly 131.03%
Exactly 28.13%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals13.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals14.71%
Wins by 3+ goals4.55%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Crystal Palace
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal20.92%
Wins by 2 goals9.74%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal21.36%
Wins by 2 goals10.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.36%10.64%
1.565.51%34.49%
2.538.80%61.20%
3.518.86%81.14%
4.57.69%92.31%
5.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.99%33.01%
1.530.40%69.60%
2.510.13%89.87%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.76%32.24%
1.531.26%68.74%
2.510.61%89.39%
3.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.56%35.44%
1.527.79%72.21%
2.58.73%91.27%
3.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Crystal Palace
Score012345
0
10.64%
12.05%
6.82%
2.57%
0.73%
0.16%
1
11.80%
13.35%
7.56%
2.85%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.54%
7.40%
4.19%
1.58%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.42%
2.73%
1.55%
0.58%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.67%
0.76%
0.43%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-011.80%
2-06.54%
2-17.40%
3-02.42%
3-12.73%
3-21.55%
4-00.67%
4-10.76%
4-20.43%
4-30.16%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.64%
1-113.35%
2-24.19%
3-30.58%
Crystal Palace
0-112.05%
0-26.82%
1-27.56%
0-32.57%
1-32.85%
2-31.58%
0-40.73%
1-40.81%
2-40.45%
3-40.17%
0-50.16%
1-50.18%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Crystal Palace
Score01234
0
35.44%
18.57%
4.87%
0.85%
0.11%
1
18.19%
9.53%
2.50%
0.44%
0.06%
2
4.67%
2.45%
0.64%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.80%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-018.19%
2-04.67%
2-12.45%
3-00.80%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.44%
1-19.53%
2-20.64%
Crystal Palace
0-118.57%
0-24.87%
1-22.50%
0-30.85%
1-30.44%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%