Fulham at Aston Villa

Updated

Fulham

21.0%23.6%55.4%
Fulham WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Fulham
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Leeds United+150
W 3-1 at Everton+255
L 1-0 vs West Ham United+192
L 1-2 at Bournemouth+186
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+680
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 at Brentford+175
W 0-3 vs Newcastle United+290
W 0-2 vs Nottingham Forest-175
W 2-1 at Leicester City+170
W 2-0 at Chelsea+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+340+394+370+400+412+400+412+417.8
Aston Villa-130-136-140-135-132-135-132-124.6
Draw+295+282+290+283+290+283+290+296.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+335-+380-+360+380+380+417.8
Aston Villa-130--145--175-140-140-124.6
Draw+290-+296-+265+285+296+296.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +413 to +400
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +315 to +300
Aston Villa ML moved from -138 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-112o2½-108o2¾+120o2½-106o2¾+120o2½-106o2¾+128
Underu2½-102u2½-106u2½-112u2¾-140u2½-109u2¾-140u2½-106u2¾-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-108-o2½-130o2½-125o2½-108o2¾+128
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-112-u2½+100u2½+105u2½+105u2¾-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.63%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 414.98%
Exactly 63.68%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 117.99%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.13%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Fulham
Exactly 037.75%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.91%
Exactly 35.82%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.57%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 315.40%
Exactly 46.70%
Exactly 52.33%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fulham
Exactly 063.70%
Exactly 128.73%
Exactly 26.48%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 044.70%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.49%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fulham
Wins by 2+ goals7.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals30.83%
Wins by 3+ goals13.79%
Wins by 4+ goals5.05%
Wins by 5+ goals1.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Fulham
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fulham
Wins by 1 goal13.71%
Wins by 2 goals5.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.49%
Wins by 2 goals17.04%
Wins by 3 goals8.74%
Wins by 4 goals3.52%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.37%6.63%
1.575.37%24.63%
2.550.96%49.04%
3.528.88%71.12%
4.513.91%86.09%
5.55.78%94.22%
6.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Fulham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.25%37.75%
1.525.47%74.53%
2.57.56%92.44%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.43%17.57%
1.551.88%48.12%
2.525.32%74.68%
3.59.91%90.09%
4.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.53%28.47%
1.535.76%64.24%
2.513.29%86.71%
3.53.89%96.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.63%
11.53%
10.03%
5.81%
2.53%
0.88%
1
6.46%
11.24%
9.77%
5.66%
2.46%
0.86%
2
3.15%
5.47%
4.76%
2.76%
1.20%
0.42%
3
1.02%
1.78%
1.55%
0.90%
0.39%
0.14%
4
0.25%
0.43%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Fulham
1-06.46%
2-03.15%
2-15.47%
3-01.02%
3-11.78%
3-21.55%
4-00.25%
4-10.43%
4-20.38%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.63%
1-111.24%
2-24.76%
3-30.90%
Aston Villa
0-111.53%
0-210.03%
1-29.77%
0-35.81%
1-35.66%
2-32.76%
0-42.53%
1-42.46%
2-41.20%
3-40.39%
0-50.88%
1-50.86%
2-50.42%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.47%
22.93%
9.23%
2.48%
0.50%
1
12.84%
10.34%
4.16%
1.12%
0.22%
2
2.90%
2.33%
0.94%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.44%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Fulham
1-012.84%
2-02.90%
2-12.33%
3-00.44%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.47%
1-110.34%
2-20.94%
Aston Villa
0-122.93%
0-29.23%
1-24.16%
0-32.48%
1-31.12%
2-30.25%
0-40.50%
1-40.22%