Manchester City at Brentford

Updated

Manchester City

71.9%17.1%11.0%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.34Projected Goals 0.79
0Final Score 1

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-120
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-165
W 3-0 at Everton-275
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-685
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-585
Brentford
Money Line
W 3-1 at Tottenham+275
W 0-2 vs West Ham United-120
L 0-1 at Liverpool+562
W 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest-135
W 2-0 at Chelsea+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-160+115+115+120+123+120+123+127.8
Brentford+400+237+230+230+238+230+238+241.7
Draw+330+260+260+260+256+260+260+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-175-+115--115+110+115+127.8
Brentford+315-+220-+235+235+235+241.7
Draw+300-+239-+240+265+265+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -116 to -128
Brentford ML moved from +250 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +122 to +115
Brentford ML moved from +265 to +235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-122o2½-120o2½-118o2½-117o2½-118o2½-117o2½-109
Underu3-115u2½+104u2½+100u2½+102u2½+102u2½+102u2½+104u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu3-125u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.36%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 417.49%
Exactly 65.72%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.66%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.96%
Exactly 72.56%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 09.65%
Exactly 122.56%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 320.56%
Exactly 412.02%
Exactly 55.62%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 70.73%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 045.20%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.25%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.45%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 311.92%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 033.87%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.85%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 069.23%
Exactly 125.46%
Exactly 24.68%
Exactly 30.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals48.76%
Wins by 3+ goals27.51%
Wins by 4+ goals13.02%
Wins by 5+ goals5.23%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals3.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals14.50%
Wins by 4 goals7.79%
Wins by 5 goals3.44%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal7.84%
Wins by 2 goals2.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.64%4.36%
1.581.98%18.02%
2.560.58%39.42%
3.538.24%61.76%
4.520.74%79.26%
5.59.78%90.22%
6.54.06%95.94%
7.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.35%9.65%
1.567.79%32.21%
2.541.41%58.59%
3.520.85%79.15%
4.58.83%91.17%
5.53.21%96.79%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.80%45.20%
1.518.91%81.09%
2.54.66%95.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.55%23.45%
1.542.54%57.46%
2.517.88%82.12%
3.55.96%94.04%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brentford
Score0123
0
4.36%
3.46%
1.38%
0.36%
1
10.20%
8.10%
3.22%
0.85%
2
11.92%
9.47%
3.76%
1.00%
3
9.29%
7.38%
2.93%
0.78%
4
5.43%
4.31%
1.71%
0.45%
5
2.54%
2.02%
0.80%
0.21%
Manchester City
1-010.20%
2-011.92%
2-19.47%
3-09.29%
3-17.38%
3-22.93%
4-05.43%
4-14.31%
4-21.71%
4-30.45%
5-02.54%
5-12.02%
5-20.80%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.36%
1-18.10%
2-23.76%
3-30.78%
Brentford
0-13.46%
0-21.38%
1-23.22%
0-30.36%
1-30.85%
2-31.00%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brentford
Score0123
0
23.45%
8.62%
1.59%
0.19%
1
25.39%
9.33%
1.72%
0.21%
2
13.74%
5.05%
0.93%
0.11%
3
4.96%
1.82%
0.34%
0.04%
4
1.34%
0.49%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.29%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.39%
2-013.74%
2-15.05%
3-04.96%
3-11.82%
3-20.34%
4-01.34%
4-10.49%
5-00.29%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.45%
1-19.33%
2-20.93%
Brentford
0-18.62%
0-21.59%
1-21.72%
0-30.19%
1-30.21%
2-30.11%