Leeds United at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Leeds United

43.4%26.2%30.4%
Leeds United WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.48Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+395
T 1-1 at Burnley+123
T 2-2 vs Everton+110
L 1-5 at Manchester United+470
W 1-3 vs West Bromwich Albion-189
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester United+1500
T 2-2 vs Southampton+140
L 0-2 at Aston Villa+320
L 4-2 vs West Ham United+235
W 2-0 at Fulham+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+115+125+120+125+123+120+125-
Newcastle Utd+220+205+215+223+200+215+223-
Draw+280+260+280+273+259+280+280-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+125-+125-+110+130+130-
Newcastle Utd+210-+191-+180+200+200-
Draw+255-+270-+235+255+270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +130 to +123
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +209 to +203

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +130 to +123
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +195 to +189

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-105o2¾-140o3+106-o2¾-140o3+106-
Underu3-118u3-115u2¾+120u3-117-u2¾+120u2¾+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3-105o3-105-o3-115o3+105o3+105-
Underu3-135u3-115u3-115-u3-115u3-125u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-122
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.13%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.44%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.40%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 022.87%
Exactly 133.74%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 312.24%
Exactly 44.52%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.54%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.02%
Exactly 36.56%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.28%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 050.50%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 211.78%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.94%
Exactly 129.67%
Exactly 27.11%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals23.45%
Wins by 3+ goals9.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals9.77%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal23.79%
Wins by 2 goals14.30%
Wins by 3 goals6.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal16.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.03%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.87%8.13%
1.571.47%28.53%
2.545.87%54.13%
3.524.46%75.54%
4.511.02%88.98%
5.54.27%95.73%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.13%22.87%
1.543.39%56.61%
2.518.50%81.50%
3.56.26%93.74%
4.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.46%35.54%
1.527.69%72.31%
2.58.68%91.32%
3.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.72%31.28%
1.532.36%67.64%
2.511.24%88.76%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
8.13%
8.41%
4.35%
1.50%
0.39%
1
11.99%
12.41%
6.42%
2.21%
0.57%
2
8.85%
9.15%
4.73%
1.63%
0.42%
3
4.35%
4.50%
2.33%
0.80%
0.21%
4
1.60%
1.66%
0.86%
0.30%
0.08%
5
0.47%
0.49%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
Leeds United
1-011.99%
2-08.85%
2-19.15%
3-04.35%
3-14.50%
3-22.33%
4-01.60%
4-11.66%
4-20.86%
4-30.30%
5-00.47%
5-10.49%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.13%
1-112.41%
2-24.73%
3-30.80%
Newcastle United
0-18.41%
0-24.35%
1-26.42%
0-31.50%
1-32.21%
2-31.63%
0-40.39%
1-40.57%
2-40.42%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
31.28%
14.98%
3.59%
0.57%
1
21.37%
10.24%
2.45%
0.39%
2
7.30%
3.50%
0.84%
0.13%
3
1.66%
0.80%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.28%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Leeds United
1-021.37%
2-07.30%
2-13.50%
3-01.66%
3-10.80%
3-20.19%
4-00.28%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-031.28%
1-110.24%
2-20.84%
Newcastle United
0-114.98%
0-23.59%
1-22.45%
0-30.57%
1-30.39%
2-30.13%