Aston Villa at Brighton

Updated

Aston Villa

26.3%25.9%47.7%
Aston Villa WinDrawBrighton Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.50
3Final Score 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Brentford+225
L 1-4 at Crystal Palace+225
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+160
T 2-2 vs Liverpool+290
T 1-1 vs Ipswich Town-225
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 2-2 at Manchester City+310
W 1-2 vs Fulham+100
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth+105
W 4-0 at Southampton-175
W 0-3 vs Chelsea+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+236+226+195+211+197+211+226+221.7
Brighton+104+110+135+135+132+135+135+143.1
Draw+296+288+255+248+248+248+288+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+218-+201+200+200+225+205+221.7
Brighton+105-+130+130+115+130+130+143.1
Draw+290-+250+230+240+260+250+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +204 to +197
Brighton ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brighton: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +215 to +200
No Steam Moves On Brighton ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-7.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-116o3-105o2½-120o2¾+106o2½-119o2¾+106o2½-119o2¾+113
Underu3-102u3-112u2½+100u2¾-122u2½-101u2¾-122u3-112u2¾-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o2½-120o2½-120o2½-130o2½-135o2½-120o2½-120o2¾+113
Underu3-105u2½+100u2½+100u2½+110u2½+105u2½+100u2½+110u2¾-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-114 to u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.88%
Exactly 225.43%
Exactly 413.69%
Exactly 62.95%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.02%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.96%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 035.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.16%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 022.34%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.83%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 061.71%
Exactly 129.79%
Exactly 27.19%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 049.96%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 212.03%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals9.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals23.88%
Wins by 3+ goals9.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal16.53%
Wins by 2 goals6.99%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals14.45%
Wins by 3 goals6.44%
Wins by 4 goals2.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.12%7.88%
1.572.11%27.89%
2.546.67%53.33%
3.525.13%74.87%
4.511.44%88.56%
5.54.48%95.52%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.75%35.25%
1.527.99%72.01%
2.58.83%91.17%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.66%22.34%
1.544.17%55.83%
2.519.08%80.92%
3.56.55%93.45%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.17%30.83%
1.532.89%67.11%
2.511.55%88.45%
3.53.18%96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
7.88%
11.80%
8.85%
4.42%
1.66%
0.50%
1
8.21%
12.31%
9.22%
4.61%
1.73%
0.52%
2
4.28%
6.42%
4.81%
2.40%
0.90%
0.27%
3
1.49%
2.23%
1.67%
0.83%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.39%
0.58%
0.44%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-08.21%
2-04.28%
2-16.42%
3-01.49%
3-12.23%
3-21.67%
4-00.39%
4-10.58%
4-20.44%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.88%
1-112.31%
2-24.81%
3-30.83%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.80%
0-28.85%
1-29.22%
0-34.42%
1-34.61%
2-32.40%
0-41.66%
1-41.73%
2-40.90%
3-40.31%
0-50.50%
1-50.52%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
30.83%
21.39%
7.42%
1.72%
0.30%
1
14.88%
10.33%
3.58%
0.83%
0.14%
2
3.59%
2.49%
0.86%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.58%
0.40%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-014.88%
2-03.59%
2-12.49%
3-00.58%
3-10.40%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.83%
1-110.33%
2-20.86%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-121.39%
0-27.42%
1-23.58%
0-31.72%
1-30.83%
2-30.20%
0-40.30%
1-40.14%