Luton Town at Chelsea

Updated

Luton Town

3.9%9.5%86.6%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.06
0Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last Games

Luton Town
Money Line
L 1-4 at Brighton and Hove Albion+900
Chelsea
Money Line
L 1-3 at West Ham United+119
T 1-1 vs Liverpool+210
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+195
L 1-4 at Manchester United+470
L 0-1 at Manchester City+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1260+1046+1000+1100+1195+1100+1195+1141.9
Chelsea-437-370-375-365-394-365-365-314.0
Draw+554+504+460+500+525+500+525+521.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+1100-+1050--+1100+1100+1141.9
Chelsea-425--412---425-412-314.0
Draw+535-+500--+525+525+521.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +1150 to +1100
Chelsea ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +1050 to +950
Chelsea ML moved from -410 to -422

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-132o3-103o2¾-122o3+109o3+114o3+109o3+114o3+116
Underu3+112u3-115u2¾+102u3-125u3-132u3-125u3-115u3-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3+110o3+102-o3+105o3+105o3+110o3+116
Underu3+105u3-130u3-122-u3-135u3-125u3-122u3-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.7%
 
No60.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.73%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 68.26%
Exactly 81.91%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.83%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 513.77%
Exactly 74.25%
Exactly 90.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 058.31%
Exactly 131.45%
Exactly 28.48%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 04.68%
Exactly 114.34%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.14%
Exactly 510.49%
Exactly 65.35%
Exactly 72.34%
Exactly 80.90%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.88%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 46.08%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 314.58%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 077.90%
Exactly 119.45%
Exactly 22.43%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 024.24%
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 311.50%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals0.77%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals69.09%
Wins by 3+ goals47.62%
Wins by 4+ goals28.20%
Wins by 5+ goals14.42%
Wins by 6+ goals6.41%
Wins by 7+ goals2.47%
Wins by 8+ goals0.80%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Chelsea
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal3.07%
Wins by 2 goals0.66%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal17.44%
Wins by 2 goals21.46%
Wins by 3 goals19.42%
Wins by 4 goals13.78%
Wins by 5 goals8.01%
Wins by 6 goals3.94%
Wins by 7 goals1.67%
Wins by 8 goals0.62%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.27%2.73%
1.587.44%12.56%
2.569.73%30.27%
3.548.49%51.51%
4.529.37%70.63%
5.515.60%84.40%
6.57.33%92.67%
7.53.08%96.92%
8.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.69%58.31%
1.510.24%89.76%
2.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.32%4.68%
1.580.98%19.02%
2.559.04%40.96%
3.536.65%63.35%
4.519.51%80.49%
5.59.02%90.98%
6.53.67%96.33%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.12%18.88%
1.549.64%50.36%
2.523.41%76.59%
3.58.83%91.17%
4.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Chelsea
Score012345
0
2.73%
8.36%
12.80%
13.06%
9.99%
6.12%
1
1.47%
4.51%
6.90%
7.04%
5.39%
3.30%
2
0.40%
1.22%
1.86%
1.90%
1.45%
0.89%
Luton Town
1-01.47%
2-00.40%
2-11.22%
Draw
0-02.73%
1-14.51%
2-21.86%
3-30.34%
Chelsea
0-18.36%
0-212.80%
1-26.90%
0-313.06%
1-37.04%
2-31.90%
0-49.99%
1-45.39%
2-41.45%
3-40.26%
0-56.12%
1-53.30%
2-50.89%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
18.88%
26.76%
18.96%
8.96%
3.17%
0.90%
0.21%
1
4.71%
6.68%
4.74%
2.24%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.59%
0.83%
0.59%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-04.71%
2-00.59%
2-10.83%
Draw
0-018.88%
1-16.68%
2-20.59%
Chelsea
0-126.76%
0-218.96%
1-24.74%
0-38.96%
1-32.24%
2-30.28%
0-43.17%
1-40.79%
0-50.90%
1-50.22%
0-60.21%