Southampton at Aston Villa

Updated

Southampton

20.3%22.0%57.8%
Southampton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.93
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+240
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+420
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+310
W 2-1 at Leicester City+325
T 2-2 vs Leeds United+140
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+800
L 1-2 at Arsenal+535
L 1-0 vs West Ham United+110
L 1-3 at Crystal Palace+201
W 1-2 vs Everton-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+269+260+250+262+254+262+262+279.4
Aston Villa+105+108+110+108+104+108+110+116.2
Draw+255+256+235+260+252+260+260+265.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+265-+260-+245+255+260+279.4
Aston Villa+105-+110--115+105+110+116.2
Draw+245-+235-+230+255+255+265.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +265 to +256
Aston Villa ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +270 to +260
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2½-123o2½-115o2½-116-o2½-116o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½+103u2½+103u2½-105u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+103u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%
 
No44.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.17%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.92%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.97%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 36.76%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 014.58%
Exactly 128.07%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.35%
Exactly 48.35%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.03%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.21%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 061.48%
Exactly 129.91%
Exactly 27.28%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 041.00%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.30%
Exactly 34.84%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals7.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals33.95%
Wins by 3+ goals16.28%
Wins by 4+ goals6.45%
Wins by 5+ goals2.12%
Wins by 6+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal12.94%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.72%
Wins by 2 goals17.68%
Wins by 3 goals9.83%
Wins by 4 goals4.32%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.73%20.27%
2.557.15%42.85%
3.534.75%65.25%
4.518.08%81.92%
5.58.16%91.84%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.03%34.97%
1.528.29%71.71%
2.58.99%91.01%
3.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.42%14.58%
1.557.35%42.65%
2.530.32%69.68%
3.512.97%87.03%
4.54.62%95.38%
5.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.79%25.21%
1.540.06%59.94%
2.516.12%83.88%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.10%
9.82%
9.45%
6.07%
2.92%
1.13%
1
5.36%
10.31%
9.93%
6.37%
3.07%
1.18%
2
2.81%
5.42%
5.22%
3.35%
1.61%
0.62%
3
0.99%
1.90%
1.83%
1.17%
0.56%
0.22%
4
0.26%
0.50%
0.48%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
Southampton
1-05.36%
2-02.81%
2-15.42%
3-00.99%
3-11.90%
3-21.83%
4-00.26%
4-10.50%
4-20.48%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-110.31%
2-25.22%
3-31.17%
4-40.15%
Aston Villa
0-19.82%
0-29.45%
1-29.93%
0-36.07%
1-36.37%
2-33.35%
0-42.92%
1-43.07%
2-41.61%
3-40.56%
0-51.13%
1-51.18%
2-50.62%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
25.21%
22.47%
10.02%
2.98%
0.66%
0.12%
1
12.26%
10.93%
4.87%
1.45%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.98%
2.66%
1.19%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.48%
0.43%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-012.26%
2-02.98%
2-12.66%
3-00.48%
3-10.43%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-025.21%
1-110.93%
2-21.19%
Aston Villa
0-122.47%
0-210.02%
1-24.87%
0-32.98%
1-31.45%
2-30.35%
0-40.66%
1-40.32%
0-50.12%