Burnley at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Burnley

35.9%29.9%34.2%
Burnley WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 1

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Tottenham+260
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+221
L 3-0 vs Manchester City+825
L 2-1 vs Newcastle United+138
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+290
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chelsea+680
L 2-3 at Manchester United+730
W 1-2 vs Sheffield United-110
L 1-2 at Arsenal+1450
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+415

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+255+268+250+275+275+275+275+288.1
Nott'ham Forest+105+111+110+109+109+109+111+116.3
Draw+250+239+245+245+245+245+245+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+230-+231-+240+265+265+288.1
Nott'ham Forest+115-+115--110+110+115+116.3
Draw+255-+250-+225+235+250+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +283 to +275
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +132 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +245 to +230
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-105o2½-102o2¼-130o2¼-130o2¼-130o2¼-130o2¼-121
Underu2½-122u2½-111u2½-118u2¼+114u2¼+114u2¼+114u2½-111u2¼+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+100o2½-103-o2½+110o2½+105o2½+110o2¼-121
Underu2½-105u2½-120u2½-117-u2½-140u2½-125u2½-117u2¼+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.17%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 49.98%
Exactly 61.48%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.63%
Exactly 318.95%
Exactly 54.20%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 034.30%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.64%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 035.48%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.71%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 41.42%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 060.93%
Exactly 130.19%
Exactly 27.48%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 061.89%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals14.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals13.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal21.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.92%
Wins by 3 goals3.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal21.02%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.83%12.17%
1.562.20%37.80%
2.535.21%64.79%
3.516.26%83.74%
4.56.28%93.72%
5.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.70%34.30%
1.529.00%71.00%
2.59.36%90.64%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.52%35.48%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.29%37.71%
1.525.51%74.49%
2.57.58%92.42%
3.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
12.17%
12.61%
6.53%
2.26%
0.58%
0.12%
1
13.02%
13.49%
6.99%
2.42%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.97%
7.22%
3.74%
1.29%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.48%
2.58%
1.33%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.66%
0.69%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-013.02%
2-06.97%
2-17.22%
3-02.48%
3-12.58%
3-21.33%
4-00.66%
4-10.69%
4-20.36%
4-30.12%
5-00.14%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-012.17%
1-113.49%
2-23.74%
3-30.46%
Nottingham Forest
0-112.61%
0-26.53%
1-26.99%
0-32.26%
1-32.42%
2-31.29%
0-40.58%
1-40.63%
2-40.33%
3-40.12%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
37.71%
18.09%
4.34%
0.69%
1
18.68%
8.96%
2.15%
0.34%
2
4.63%
2.22%
0.53%
0.09%
3
0.76%
0.37%
0.09%
0.01%
Burnley
1-018.68%
2-04.63%
2-12.22%
3-00.76%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-037.71%
1-18.96%
2-20.53%
Nottingham Forest
0-118.09%
0-24.34%
1-22.15%
0-30.69%
1-30.34%