Manchester City at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Manchester City

79.8%13.6%6.6%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.58Projected Goals 0.61
1Final Score 1

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-325
L 0-1 at Tottenham-110
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-410
W 2-4 vs Tottenham-209
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fulham+340
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+175
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+168
W 0-2 vs Leicester City+168
W 1-0 at Southampton+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-335-319-360-290-287-290-287-255.8
Nott'ham Forest+800+930+1000+880+842+880+1000+913.6
Draw+475+452+460+430+467+430+467+448.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-310--310---290-295-255.8
Nott'ham Forest+825-+760--+800+800+913.6
Draw+435-+455--+425+455+448.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -360 to -375
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +855 to +842

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -295 to -310
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +750 to +735

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-102o3-105o3-101o3+104o3-101o3+104o3+106
Underu3-115u3-116u3-115u3-115u3-119u3-115u3-115u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+100o3-104-o3-110o3-105o3+100o3+106
Underu3-115u3-120u3-116-u3-120u3-115u3-115u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 417.77%
Exactly 66.03%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.13%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.34%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 119.53%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 054.36%
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 210.10%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.82%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 44.53%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 075.41%
Exactly 121.28%
Exactly 23.00%
Exactly 30.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals58.28%
Wins by 3+ goals35.82%
Wins by 4+ goals18.59%
Wins by 5+ goals8.24%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals1.48%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.47%
Wins by 2 goals22.46%
Wins by 3 goals17.23%
Wins by 4 goals10.34%
Wins by 5 goals5.08%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal5.06%
Wins by 2 goals1.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.76%17.24%
2.561.82%38.18%
3.539.55%60.45%
4.521.78%78.22%
5.510.44%89.56%
6.54.41%95.59%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.90%27.10%
2.547.69%52.31%
3.526.00%74.00%
4.512.00%88.00%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.64%54.36%
1.512.50%87.50%
2.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.18%22.82%
1.543.46%56.54%
2.518.55%81.45%
3.56.28%93.72%
4.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
4.11%
2.51%
0.76%
0.16%
1
10.62%
6.47%
1.97%
0.40%
2
13.71%
8.35%
2.55%
0.52%
3
11.79%
7.19%
2.19%
0.45%
4
7.61%
4.64%
1.41%
0.29%
5
3.93%
2.40%
0.73%
0.15%
Manchester City
1-010.62%
2-013.71%
2-18.35%
3-011.79%
3-17.19%
3-22.19%
4-07.61%
4-14.64%
4-21.41%
4-30.29%
5-03.93%
5-12.40%
5-20.73%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-16.47%
2-22.55%
3-30.45%
Nottingham Forest
0-12.51%
0-20.76%
1-21.97%
0-30.16%
1-30.40%
2-30.52%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
22.82%
6.44%
0.91%
0.09%
1
27.28%
7.70%
1.09%
0.10%
2
16.30%
4.60%
0.65%
0.06%
3
6.49%
1.83%
0.26%
0.02%
4
1.94%
0.55%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.46%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-027.28%
2-016.30%
2-14.60%
3-06.49%
3-11.83%
3-20.26%
4-01.94%
4-10.55%
5-00.46%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.82%
1-17.70%
2-20.65%
Nottingham Forest
0-16.44%
0-20.91%
1-21.09%
1-30.10%