Chelsea at Brentford

Updated

Chelsea

46.7%26.6%26.7%
Chelsea WinDrawBrentford Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.02
0Final Score 0

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Tottenham-150
L 0-1 at Arsenal+440
W 0-1 vs Leicester City-450
W 0-4 vs Southampton-650
L 1-2 at Aston Villa+160
Brentford
Money Line
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+390
W 2-1 at Bournemouth+320
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+120
T 1-1 vs Everton+120
W 4-0 at Leicester City-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+112+140+130+142+136+142+142+150.6
Brentford+226+193+195+195+188+195+195+205.5
Draw+281+256+265+253+252+253+265+265.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+100-+140+115+110+135+140+150.6
Brentford+225-+182+200+195+190+200+205.5
Draw+255-+255+260+260+255+260+265.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +111 to +104
Brentford ML moved from +217 to +193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 30.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +115 to +107
Brentford ML moved from +215 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3+111o3+100o2¾-120o2¾-125o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-111
Underu3+104u3-130u3-120u2¾+104u2¾+103u2¾+104u3-120u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3+100o3+100o3-125o3-130o3+105o3+105o2¾-111
Underu3-105u3-120u3-120u3+105u3+100u3-125u3+105u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+104 to u3-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 62.60%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 023.80%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 311.73%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 051.45%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 211.36%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 062.42%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals22.75%
Wins by 3+ goals8.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals9.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals6.03%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal16.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.06%
Wins by 3 goals2.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.30%29.70%
2.544.41%55.59%
3.523.25%76.75%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.20%23.80%
1.542.03%57.97%
2.517.51%82.49%
3.55.78%94.22%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.41%68.59%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brentford
Score01234
0
8.60%
8.75%
4.46%
1.51%
0.38%
1
12.35%
12.57%
6.40%
2.17%
0.55%
2
8.86%
9.02%
4.59%
1.56%
0.40%
3
4.24%
4.32%
2.20%
0.75%
0.19%
4
1.52%
1.55%
0.79%
0.27%
0.07%
5
0.44%
0.44%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.35%
2-08.86%
2-19.02%
3-04.24%
3-14.32%
3-22.20%
4-01.52%
4-11.55%
4-20.79%
4-30.27%
5-00.44%
5-10.44%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.57%
2-24.59%
3-30.75%
Brentford
0-18.75%
0-24.46%
1-26.40%
0-31.51%
1-32.17%
2-31.56%
0-40.38%
1-40.55%
2-40.40%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brentford
Score0123
0
32.11%
15.13%
3.57%
0.56%
1
21.34%
10.06%
2.37%
0.37%
2
7.09%
3.34%
0.79%
0.12%
3
1.57%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-021.34%
2-07.09%
2-13.34%
3-01.57%
3-10.74%
3-20.17%
4-00.26%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.06%
2-20.79%
Brentford
0-115.13%
0-23.57%
1-22.37%
0-30.56%
1-30.37%
2-30.12%