Newcastle Utd at Burnley

Updated

Newcastle United

40.8%28.0%31.2%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBurnley Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.06
4Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Sheffield United-460
L 0-2 at Crystal Palace+125
W 0-4 vs Tottenham+165
W 1-0 at Fulham+182
T 1-1 vs Everton+100
Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 at Manchester United+450
W 4-1 at Sheffield United+155
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+270
L 0-1 at Everton+365
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+101+101-105-102-102-102+101+105.0
Burnley+248+237+240+246+246+246+246+258.1
Draw+293+306+320+315+315+315+320+329.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-105-+100+100-120+100+100+105.0
Burnley+245-+233+220+220+225+233+258.1
Draw+300-+296+300+275+310+310+329.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +100 to -105
Burnley ML moved from +240 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML
Burnley ML moved from +240 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+103o3¼-120o3¼-117o3¼-117o3¼-117o3¼-117o3¼-108
Underu3+115u3½-121u3¼+100u3¼+101u3¼+101u3¼+101u3½-121u3¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-140o3½+105o3+100o3½-110o3½+100o3+100o3¼-108
Underu3+110u3+120u3½-125u3-120u3½-120u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 60.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-110
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.80%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.76%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.11%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 055.81%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 061.12%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals18.10%
Wins by 3+ goals6.22%
Wins by 4+ goals1.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals11.94%
Wins by 3+ goals3.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal22.67%
Wins by 2 goals11.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.52%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal19.14%
Wins by 2 goals8.46%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.20%9.80%
1.567.44%32.56%
2.541.01%58.99%
3.520.54%79.46%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.63%28.37%
1.535.89%64.11%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.89%34.11%
1.529.20%70.80%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Burnley
Score012345
0
9.80%
10.42%
5.54%
1.96%
0.52%
0.11%
1
12.34%
13.12%
6.98%
2.47%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.77%
8.27%
4.40%
1.56%
0.41%
0.09%
3
3.26%
3.47%
1.85%
0.65%
0.17%
0.04%
4
1.03%
1.09%
0.58%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.28%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-012.34%
2-07.77%
2-18.27%
3-03.26%
3-13.47%
3-21.85%
4-01.03%
4-11.09%
4-20.58%
4-30.21%
5-00.26%
5-10.28%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.80%
1-113.12%
2-24.40%
3-30.65%
Burnley
0-110.42%
0-25.54%
1-26.98%
0-31.96%
1-32.47%
2-31.56%
0-40.52%
1-40.66%
2-40.41%
3-40.17%
0-50.11%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Burnley
Score0123
0
34.11%
16.79%
4.13%
0.68%
1
19.90%
9.79%
2.41%
0.40%
2
5.80%
2.86%
0.70%
0.12%
3
1.13%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-019.90%
2-05.80%
2-12.86%
3-01.13%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-034.11%
1-19.79%
2-20.70%
Burnley
0-116.79%
0-24.13%
1-22.41%
0-30.68%
1-30.40%
2-30.12%