Manchester Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Manchester United

52.9%21.3%25.8%
Manchester Utd WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.97Projected Goals 0.97
3Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
T 0-0 at Leeds United-121
W 1-3 vs Burnley-278
W 3-1 at Tottenham+140
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-150
W 0-1 vs West Ham United-125
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Everton+280
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+110
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+850
L 1-2 at Liverpool+619
W 1-3 vs Fulham+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd-130--125-130-135-130-125-
Aston Villa+360-+345+348+345+348+348-
Draw+285-+280+305+283+305+305-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd-135--127--160-125-125-
Aston Villa+350-+335-+330+340+340-
Draw+290-+280-+260+275+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -135 to -144
Aston Villa ML moved from +359 to +345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -128 to -134
Aston Villa ML moved from +353 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110-o2½-130o2¾-120-o2¾-120o2½-130-
Underu3-130-u2½+110u2¾+100-u2¾+100u2¾+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-140o2½-136-o2½-135o2½-135o2½-135-
Underu2½+125u2½+120u2½+116-u2½+105u2½+115u2½+120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.54%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.68%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 013.87%
Exactly 127.40%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.82%
Exactly 48.80%
Exactly 53.48%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.09%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.63%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 040.07%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.76%
Exactly 35.11%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 063.96%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals36.67%
Wins by 3+ goals18.04%
Wins by 4+ goals7.33%
Wins by 5+ goals2.48%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals5.99%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals10.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.85%
Wins by 5 goals1.80%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal11.78%
Wins by 2 goals4.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.18%20.82%
2.556.33%43.67%
3.533.94%66.06%
4.517.48%82.52%
5.57.80%92.20%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.13%13.87%
1.558.72%41.28%
2.531.66%68.34%
3.513.84%86.16%
4.55.04%94.96%
5.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.91%38.09%
1.525.15%74.85%
2.57.40%92.60%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.37%25.63%
1.539.48%60.52%
2.515.73%84.27%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
5.28%
5.10%
2.46%
0.79%
0.19%
1
10.44%
10.07%
4.86%
1.56%
0.38%
2
10.31%
9.95%
4.80%
1.55%
0.37%
3
6.79%
6.55%
3.16%
1.02%
0.25%
4
3.35%
3.23%
1.56%
0.50%
0.12%
5
1.32%
1.28%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
Manchester United
1-010.44%
2-010.31%
2-19.95%
3-06.79%
3-16.55%
3-23.16%
4-03.35%
4-13.23%
4-21.56%
4-30.50%
5-01.32%
5-11.28%
5-20.62%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-110.07%
2-24.80%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Aston Villa
0-15.10%
0-22.46%
1-24.86%
0-30.79%
1-31.56%
2-31.55%
0-40.19%
1-40.38%
2-40.37%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score0123
0
25.63%
11.45%
2.56%
0.38%
1
23.44%
10.48%
2.34%
0.35%
2
10.72%
4.79%
1.07%
0.16%
3
3.27%
1.46%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.75%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-023.44%
2-010.72%
2-14.79%
3-03.27%
3-11.46%
3-20.33%
4-00.75%
4-10.33%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-025.63%
1-110.48%
2-21.07%
Aston Villa
0-111.45%
0-22.56%
1-22.34%
0-30.38%
1-30.35%
2-30.16%