Leicester City at Aston Villa

Updated

Leicester City

37.2%27.2%35.6%
Leicester City WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Leicester City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Southampton+200
W 2-4 vs Watford-135
L 3-0 vs Chelsea+385
T 1-1 at Leeds United+164
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+155
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+650
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace+235
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+148
L 0-1 at Southampton+275
L 4-1 vs West Ham United+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+160+210+215-+227+215+227+225.1
Aston Villa+160+130+135-+120+135+135+145.1
Draw+243+225+240-+233+240+240+251.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+185-+213-+185+245+245+225.1
Aston Villa+120-+135-+120+120+135+145.1
Draw+210-+225-+210+225+225+251.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +235 to +215
Aston Villa ML moved from +130 to +115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Leicester City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 60.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +234 to +213
Aston Villa ML moved from +126 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-118o2½-119o2½-116-o2½-119o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2½-108u2½-102u2½-101u2½+101-u2½-101u2½+101u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-110o2½-117-o2½-120o2½-110o2½-110o2½-109
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-103-u2½-110u2½-110u2½-103u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 028.32%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.86%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.86%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 055.76%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 29.51%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.15%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals16.49%
Wins by 3+ goals5.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals14.85%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.27%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Leicester City
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal21.15%
Wins by 2 goals10.87%
Wins by 3 goals4.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal20.26%
Wins by 2 goals9.98%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.65%29.35%
2.544.85%55.15%
3.523.61%76.39%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.68%28.32%
1.535.95%64.05%
2.513.42%86.58%
3.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.14%29.86%
1.534.05%65.95%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.14%31.86%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
8.46%
10.22%
6.18%
2.49%
0.75%
0.18%
1
10.67%
12.89%
7.79%
3.14%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.73%
8.13%
4.92%
1.98%
0.60%
0.14%
3
2.83%
3.42%
2.07%
0.83%
0.25%
0.06%
4
0.89%
1.08%
0.65%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.27%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Leicester City
1-010.67%
2-06.73%
2-18.13%
3-02.83%
3-13.42%
3-22.07%
4-00.89%
4-11.08%
4-20.65%
4-30.26%
5-00.23%
5-10.27%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-08.46%
1-112.89%
2-24.92%
3-30.83%
Aston Villa
0-110.22%
0-26.18%
1-27.79%
0-32.49%
1-33.14%
2-31.98%
0-40.75%
1-40.95%
2-40.60%
3-40.25%
0-50.18%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
31.86%
17.83%
4.99%
0.93%
0.13%
1
18.61%
10.42%
2.91%
0.54%
0.08%
2
5.44%
3.04%
0.85%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.06%
0.59%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Leicester City
1-018.61%
2-05.44%
2-13.04%
3-01.06%
3-10.59%
3-20.17%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-031.86%
1-110.42%
2-20.85%
Aston Villa
0-117.83%
0-24.99%
1-22.91%
0-30.93%
1-30.54%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%