Liverpool at Burnley

Updated

Liverpool

60.5%18.9%20.6%
Liverpool WinDrawBurnley Win
2.11Projected Goals 0.71
1Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-475
W 3-1 at Crystal Palace-180
W 0-3 vs Brentford-365
T 2-2 at Chelsea+168
L 0-1 at Leicester City-310
Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+600
T 0-0 vs Watford+124
T 0-0 at Arsenal+1050
L 1-3 at Leeds United+275
L 1-3 at Manchester United+820

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-280-455-450-424-527-450-424-367.6
Burnley+725+1100+1275+1220+1181+1275+1275+1258.9
Draw+400+575+595+593+606+595+606+612.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-340--465---450-450-367.6
Burnley+900-+1200--+1200+1200+1258.9
Draw+440-+551--+540+551+612.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -478 to -527
Burnley ML moved from +1283 to +1220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -420 to -450
Burnley ML moved from +1250 to +1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3¼-118o3¼-114o3-149-o3¼-114o3¼-114o3-133
Underu2¾+100u3¼-102u3¼-102u3+134-u3¼-102u3+134u3+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-140o3-152-o3-135o3-145o3-135o3-133
Underu3-130u3+120u3+132-u3+105u3+125u3+130u3+133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3¼-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.96%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.81%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.86%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 012.19%
Exactly 125.65%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.94%
Exactly 49.97%
Exactly 54.20%
Exactly 61.47%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 048.93%
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.10%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 037.74%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.92%
Exactly 35.82%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 071.82%
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 23.93%
Exactly 30.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals44.91%
Wins by 3+ goals23.70%
Wins by 4+ goals10.37%
Wins by 5+ goals3.83%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals3.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals21.21%
Wins by 3 goals13.32%
Wins by 4 goals6.54%
Wins by 5 goals2.63%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal8.37%
Wins by 2 goals2.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.04%5.96%
1.577.23%22.77%
2.553.52%46.48%
3.531.24%68.76%
4.515.54%84.46%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.81%12.19%
1.562.16%37.84%
2.535.17%64.83%
3.516.23%83.77%
4.56.26%93.74%
5.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.07%48.93%
1.516.10%83.90%
2.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.90%27.10%
1.537.51%62.49%
2.514.42%85.58%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Burnley
Score0123
0
5.96%
4.26%
1.52%
0.36%
1
12.55%
8.97%
3.21%
0.76%
2
13.21%
9.44%
3.37%
0.80%
3
9.27%
6.62%
2.37%
0.56%
4
4.88%
3.49%
1.25%
0.30%
5
2.05%
1.47%
0.52%
0.12%
Liverpool
1-012.55%
2-013.21%
2-19.44%
3-09.27%
3-16.62%
3-22.37%
4-04.88%
4-13.49%
4-21.25%
4-30.30%
5-02.05%
5-11.47%
5-20.52%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-05.96%
1-18.97%
2-23.37%
3-30.56%
Burnley
0-14.26%
0-21.52%
1-23.21%
0-30.36%
1-30.76%
2-30.80%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Burnley
Score0123
0
27.10%
8.97%
1.48%
0.16%
1
26.41%
8.74%
1.45%
0.16%
2
12.87%
4.26%
0.70%
0.08%
3
4.18%
1.38%
0.23%
0.03%
4
1.02%
0.34%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-026.41%
2-012.87%
2-14.26%
3-04.18%
3-11.38%
3-20.23%
4-01.02%
4-10.34%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-027.10%
1-18.74%
2-20.70%
Burnley
0-18.97%
0-21.48%
1-21.45%
0-30.16%
1-30.16%