Marseille at Villarreal

Updated

Marseille

30.5%26.5%43.0%
Marseille WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.40
1Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Marseille
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Villarreal-145
W 1-3 vs Shakhtar-185
T 2-2 at Shakhtar+128
L 0-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+400
W 3-4 vs Ajax-185
Villarreal
Money Line
L 0-4 at Marseille+380
W 3-2 at Rennes+240
W 2-3 vs Panathinaikos-120
W 0-1 vs Rennes+115
L 0-2 at Panathinaikos+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marseille+215+223+190+228+229+228+229+239.6
Villarreal+105+115+125+115+110+115+115+122.6
Draw+310+276+280+277+282+277+282+290.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marseille+180-+223-+165+215+223+239.6
Villarreal+130-+110-+105+115+115+122.6
Draw+285-+275-+275+270+275+290.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marseille: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marseille: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marseille ML moved from +236 to +228
Villarreal ML moved from +119 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marseille: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marseille: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marseille ML moved from +235 to +223
Villarreal ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3+110o2¾-115o2¾-117o2¾-116o2¾-117o2¾-115o2¾-106
Underu3-112u3-130u2¾-105u2¾-103u2¾-102u2¾-103u3-130u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115-o2½-140-o3-110o3+110o2½-140o2¾-106
Underu3-105-u2½+120-u3-120u3-130u3-120u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-110 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.05%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 032.07%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 024.62%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.87%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 059.07%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 052.26%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 211.01%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals12.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals20.37%
Wins by 3+ goals7.58%
Wins by 4+ goals2.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Marseille
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal18.31%
Wins by 2 goals8.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals12.79%
Wins by 3 goals5.32%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.06%27.94%
2.546.61%53.39%
3.525.08%74.92%
4.511.41%88.59%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.93%32.07%
1.531.46%68.54%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.38%24.62%
1.540.88%59.12%
2.516.69%83.31%
3.55.39%94.61%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.13%30.87%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Marseille
Villarreal
Score012345
0
7.90%
11.07%
7.76%
3.62%
1.27%
0.36%
1
8.98%
12.59%
8.82%
4.12%
1.44%
0.40%
2
5.10%
7.16%
5.02%
2.34%
0.82%
0.23%
3
1.94%
2.71%
1.90%
0.89%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.55%
0.77%
0.54%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Marseille
1-08.98%
2-05.10%
2-17.16%
3-01.94%
3-12.71%
3-21.90%
4-00.55%
4-10.77%
4-20.54%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-112.59%
2-25.02%
3-30.89%
Villarreal
0-111.07%
0-27.76%
1-28.82%
0-33.62%
1-34.12%
2-32.34%
0-41.27%
1-41.44%
2-40.82%
3-40.31%
0-50.36%
1-50.40%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Marseille
Villarreal
Score01234
0
30.87%
20.03%
6.50%
1.41%
0.23%
1
16.25%
10.55%
3.42%
0.74%
0.12%
2
4.28%
2.78%
0.90%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Marseille
1-016.25%
2-04.28%
2-12.78%
3-00.75%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.87%
1-110.55%
2-20.90%
Villarreal
0-120.03%
0-26.50%
1-23.42%
0-31.41%
1-30.74%
2-30.19%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%