Manchester Utd at Real Sociedad

Updated

Manchester United

35.5%28.7%35.9%
Manchester Utd WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 2-0 at FCSB-150
W 1-2 vs Rangers-180
W 2-1 at Viktoria Plzen-190
W 2-3 vs Bodo/Glimt-425
W 0-2 vs PAOK-460
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Midtjylland-185
W 2-1 at Midtjylland+135
W 0-2 vs PAOK-135
L 1-3 at Lazio+215
W 0-3 vs Dynamo Kyiv-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+210+240+240+235+227+235+235+246.6
Real Sociedad+135+133+130+140+131+140+140+148.3
Draw+230+216+215+213+211+213+216+223.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+220-+214-+255+240+255+246.6
Real Sociedad+135-+140--105+125+140+148.3
Draw+220-+215-+200+220+220+223.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +240 to +232
Real Sociedad ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Manchester Utd: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 50.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +238 to +214
Real Sociedad ML moved from +130 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-138o2¼+105o2¼+102o2¼+104o2¼+102o2-138o2¼+111
Underu2¼-102u2+117u2¼-125u2¼-122u2¼-126u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115-o2½+125-o2½+115o2-140o2-140o2¼+111
Underu2½-135-u2½-145-u2½-145u2+120u2½-145u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.44%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.34%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.59%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 032.44%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 032.18%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.13%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 059.38%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 059.15%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals14.33%
Wins by 3+ goals4.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals14.58%
Wins by 3+ goals4.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.92%
Wins by 3 goals3.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal21.18%
Wins by 2 goals10.06%
Wins by 3 goals3.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.56%10.44%
1.565.98%34.02%
2.539.33%60.67%
3.519.25%80.75%
4.57.91%92.09%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.56%32.44%
1.531.04%68.96%
2.510.48%89.52%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.82%32.18%
1.531.34%68.66%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.87%35.13%
1.528.13%71.87%
2.58.90%91.10%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
10.44%
11.84%
6.71%
2.54%
0.72%
0.16%
1
11.75%
13.32%
7.55%
2.86%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.61%
7.50%
4.25%
1.61%
0.46%
0.10%
3
2.48%
2.81%
1.60%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.70%
0.79%
0.45%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-011.75%
2-06.61%
2-17.50%
3-02.48%
3-12.81%
3-21.60%
4-00.70%
4-10.79%
4-20.45%
4-30.17%
5-00.16%
5-10.18%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.44%
1-113.32%
2-24.25%
3-30.60%
Real Sociedad
0-111.84%
0-26.71%
1-27.55%
0-32.54%
1-32.86%
2-31.61%
0-40.72%
1-40.81%
2-40.46%
3-40.17%
0-50.16%
1-50.18%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
35.13%
18.44%
4.84%
0.85%
0.11%
1
18.31%
9.61%
2.52%
0.44%
0.06%
2
4.77%
2.51%
0.66%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.83%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-018.31%
2-04.77%
2-12.51%
3-00.83%
3-10.44%
3-20.11%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-035.13%
1-19.61%
2-20.66%
Real Sociedad
0-118.44%
0-24.84%
1-22.52%
0-30.85%
1-30.44%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%