Union Berlin at Ajax

Updated

Union Berlin

23.2%24.0%52.9%
Union Berlin WinDrawAjax Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.71
0Final Score 0

Ajax

Last Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 1-0 at Union SG-110
W 0-1 vs Braga-120
W 0-1 vs Malmo-275
W 1-0 at Malmo-160
L 0-1 at Braga+210
Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at Roma+210
L 2-1 vs Roma-105
W 2-0 at Young Boys-135
W 0-3 vs Young Boys-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+332+277+270+280+292+280+292+301.4
Ajax-124+111+110+107+113+107+113+118.1
Draw+294+233+235+230+234+230+235+242.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+295-+288-+255+275+288+301.4
Ajax-140-+102--115+105+105+118.1
Draw+240-+228-+220+235+235+242.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +280 to +270
Ajax ML moved from +113 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +285 to +255
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+109o2½+121o2¼-102o2¼+100o2½+132o2¼+100o2¼+100o2½+138
Underu3-129u2½-143u2¼-118u2¼-120u2½-147u2¼-120u2½-143u2½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½+122-o2½+100o2½+120o2½+122o2½+138
Underu2½-115-u2½-142-u2½-130u2½-140u2½-130u2½-138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+115 to u2½-142

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 415.25%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.55%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.40%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 035.15%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.21%
Exactly 36.69%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 018.14%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.04%
Exactly 46.42%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.96%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 39.65%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 061.63%
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 27.22%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 045.37%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 214.17%
Exactly 33.73%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals8.42%
Wins by 3+ goals2.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals28.87%
Wins by 3+ goals12.66%
Wins by 4+ goals4.55%
Wins by 5+ goals1.36%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal14.67%
Wins by 2 goals6.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.96%
Wins by 2 goals16.21%
Wins by 3 goals8.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.07%23.93%
2.551.91%48.09%
3.529.75%70.25%
4.514.50%85.50%
5.56.10%93.90%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.85%35.15%
1.528.09%71.91%
2.58.88%91.12%
3.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.86%18.14%
1.550.90%49.10%
2.524.46%75.54%
3.59.43%90.57%
4.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.04%27.96%
1.536.41%63.59%
2.513.70%86.30%
3.54.06%95.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Ajax
Score012345
0
6.38%
10.89%
9.29%
5.29%
2.26%
0.77%
1
6.67%
11.38%
9.71%
5.53%
2.36%
0.81%
2
3.48%
5.95%
5.08%
2.89%
1.23%
0.42%
3
1.21%
2.07%
1.77%
1.01%
0.43%
0.15%
4
0.32%
0.54%
0.46%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Union Berlin
1-06.67%
2-03.48%
2-15.95%
3-01.21%
3-12.07%
3-21.77%
4-00.32%
4-10.54%
4-20.46%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.38%
1-111.38%
2-25.08%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-110.89%
0-29.29%
1-29.71%
0-35.29%
1-35.53%
2-32.89%
0-42.26%
1-42.36%
2-41.23%
3-40.43%
0-50.77%
1-50.81%
2-50.42%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Ajax
Score01234
0
27.96%
22.10%
8.73%
2.30%
0.45%
1
13.53%
10.70%
4.23%
1.11%
0.22%
2
3.28%
2.59%
1.02%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.53%
0.42%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-013.53%
2-03.28%
2-12.59%
3-00.53%
3-10.42%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-027.96%
1-110.70%
2-21.02%
Ajax
0-122.10%
0-28.73%
1-24.23%
0-32.30%
1-31.11%
2-30.27%
0-40.45%
1-40.22%