Leverkusen at Roma

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

41.1%25.5%33.3%
Leverkusen WinDrawRoma Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.28
0Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
W 4-1 at Union SG+101
T 1-1 vs Union SG-210
W 2-0 at Ferencvaros-135
W 0-2 vs Ferencvaros-355
W 5-3 at Monaco+220
Roma
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Feyenoord-130
L 0-1 at Feyenoord+230
T 0-0 at Real Sociedad+358
W 0-2 vs Real Sociedad+140
W 0-2 vs RB Salzburg-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+276+244+240+233+242+233+244+245.0
Roma+107+133+130+138+138+138+138+146.6
Draw+238+213+210+217+218+217+218+228.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+255-+220-+250+235+250+245.0
Roma+110-+135--110+130+135+146.6
Draw+240-+213-+215+215+215+228.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +245 to +235
Roma ML moved from +114 to +107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 30.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +238 to +200
No Steam Moves On Roma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111o2-122o2-122o2-120o2½+155o2-120o2¼+105o2-109
Underu2½-131u2+104u2+102u2+100u2½-170u2+100u2½-150u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2-115-o2-130o2-125o2-115o2-109
Underu2½-140-u2-105-u2+100u2+105u2+105u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.53%
Exactly 224.31%
Exactly 415.09%
Exactly 63.75%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.81%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.24%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 023.45%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 311.92%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 027.83%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.26%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 39.51%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 051.10%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.52%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 055.31%
Exactly 132.76%
Exactly 29.70%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals19.65%
Wins by 3+ goals7.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals14.38%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal21.42%
Wins by 2 goals12.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.17%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal18.89%
Wins by 2 goals9.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.47%6.53%
1.575.66%24.34%
2.551.35%48.65%
3.529.24%70.76%
4.514.15%85.85%
5.55.91%94.09%
6.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.55%23.45%
1.542.54%57.46%
2.517.88%82.12%
3.55.96%94.04%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.17%27.83%
1.536.58%63.42%
2.513.81%86.19%
3.54.10%95.90%
4.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.74%28.26%
1.536.03%63.97%
2.513.46%86.54%
3.53.96%96.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Roma
Score012345
0
6.53%
8.35%
5.34%
2.28%
0.73%
0.19%
1
9.46%
12.11%
7.74%
3.30%
1.06%
0.27%
2
6.86%
8.78%
5.61%
2.39%
0.77%
0.20%
3
3.32%
4.24%
2.71%
1.16%
0.37%
0.09%
4
1.20%
1.54%
0.98%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.35%
0.45%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-09.46%
2-06.86%
2-18.78%
3-03.32%
3-14.24%
3-22.71%
4-01.20%
4-11.54%
4-20.98%
4-30.42%
5-00.35%
5-10.45%
5-20.29%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.53%
1-112.11%
2-25.61%
3-31.16%
4-40.13%
Roma
0-18.35%
0-25.34%
1-27.74%
0-32.28%
1-33.30%
2-32.39%
0-40.73%
1-41.06%
2-40.77%
3-40.37%
0-50.19%
1-50.27%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Roma
Score01234
0
28.26%
16.74%
4.96%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.98%
11.24%
3.33%
0.66%
0.10%
2
6.37%
3.77%
1.12%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.43%
0.84%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.24%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-018.98%
2-06.37%
2-13.77%
3-01.43%
3-10.84%
3-20.25%
4-00.24%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-028.26%
1-111.24%
2-21.12%
Roma
0-116.74%
0-24.96%
1-23.33%
0-30.98%
1-30.66%
2-30.22%
0-40.14%