Lyon at Hoffenheim

Updated

Lyon

26.1%23.2%50.7%
Lyon WinDrawHoffenheim Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 2

Hoffenheim

Last Games

Lyon
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Besiktas-210
W 4-1 at Rangers+170
W 0-2 vs Olympiacos-110
L 3-0 vs West Ham United+140
T 1-1 at West Ham United+275
Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 0-2 at Porto+550
W 0-2 vs Dynamo Kyiv-115
T 1-1 at Midtjylland+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lyon+177+196+190+200+198+200+200+210.4
Hoffenheim+145+128+125+130+126+130+130+138.0
Draw+269+278+255+275+269+275+278+288.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lyon+150---+115+185+185+210.4
Hoffenheim+160---+165+130+165+138.0
Draw+275---+255+280+280+288.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lyon: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lyon: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lyon: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lyon ML moved from +140 to +130
Hoffenheim ML moved from +138 to +132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lyon: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Hoffenheim: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lyon: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lyon: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lyon ML moved from +130 to +115
Hoffenheim ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-127o3-118o3-123o3-116o3-123o3-116o3-112
Underu3-127u3+108u3-102u3+103u3-104u3+103u3+108u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130---o3-140o3-135o3-135o3-112
Underu3+110---u3+110u3+115u3+115u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3¼+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.7%
 
No41.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 416.84%
Exactly 65.08%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.87%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.13%
Exactly 72.18%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lyon
Exactly 029.52%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 016.75%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 315.92%
Exactly 47.11%
Exactly 52.54%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.85%
Exactly 224.08%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 311.18%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lyon
Exactly 056.84%
Exactly 132.11%
Exactly 29.07%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 043.73%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.96%
Exactly 34.13%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lyon
Wins by 2+ goals10.58%
Wins by 3+ goals3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals27.95%
Wins by 3+ goals12.51%
Wins by 4+ goals4.61%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Lyon
Hoffenheim
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lyon
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals7.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal22.67%
Wins by 2 goals15.44%
Wins by 3 goals7.89%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.19%19.81%
2.557.83%42.17%
3.535.43%64.57%
4.518.59%81.41%
5.58.46%91.54%
6.53.39%96.61%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Lyon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.48%29.52%
1.534.47%65.53%
2.512.49%87.51%
3.53.55%96.45%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.25%16.75%
1.553.32%46.68%
2.526.58%73.42%
3.510.66%89.34%
4.53.54%96.46%
5.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.15%24.85%
1.540.55%59.45%
2.516.46%83.54%
3.55.28%94.72%
4.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lyon
Hoffenheim
Score012345
0
4.94%
8.83%
7.89%
4.70%
2.10%
0.75%
1
6.03%
10.78%
9.63%
5.74%
2.56%
0.92%
2
3.68%
6.58%
5.88%
3.50%
1.56%
0.56%
3
1.50%
2.68%
2.39%
1.42%
0.64%
0.23%
4
0.46%
0.82%
0.73%
0.43%
0.19%
0.07%
5
0.11%
0.20%
0.18%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Lyon
1-06.03%
2-03.68%
2-16.58%
3-01.50%
3-12.68%
3-22.39%
4-00.46%
4-10.82%
4-20.73%
4-30.43%
5-00.11%
5-10.20%
5-20.18%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-04.94%
1-110.78%
2-25.88%
3-31.42%
4-40.19%
Hoffenheim
0-18.83%
0-27.89%
1-29.63%
0-34.70%
1-35.74%
2-33.50%
0-42.10%
1-42.56%
2-41.56%
3-40.64%
0-50.75%
1-50.92%
2-50.56%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Lyon
Hoffenheim
Score01234
0
24.85%
20.56%
8.50%
2.34%
0.48%
1
14.04%
11.62%
4.80%
1.32%
0.27%
2
3.97%
3.28%
1.36%
0.37%
0.08%
3
0.75%
0.62%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Lyon
1-014.04%
2-03.97%
2-13.28%
3-00.75%
3-10.62%
3-20.26%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-024.85%
1-111.62%
2-21.36%
Hoffenheim
0-120.56%
0-28.50%
1-24.80%
0-32.34%
1-31.32%
2-30.37%
0-40.48%
1-40.27%