Athletic Club at Roma

Updated

Athletic Club

31.6%28.1%40.3%
Athletic Club WinDrawRoma Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.25
1Final Score 2

Roma

Last 5 Games

Athletic Club
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Viktoria Plzen-255
L 1-4 at Besiktas+100
W 2-0 at Fenerbahce+190
W 0-3 vs Elfsborg-500
W 2-1 at Ludogorets-150
Roma
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Porto-120
T 1-1 at Porto+181
W 0-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-140
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+105
W 0-3 vs Braga-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+205+211+200+225+212+225+225+236.6
Roma+130+149+145+148+142+148+149+156.8
Draw+240+216+220+208+207+208+220+219.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletic Club+245-+200-+195+200+200+236.6
Roma+120-+152-+115+150+152+156.8
Draw+225-+210-+210+215+215+219.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +210 to +200
Roma ML moved from +155 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Roma: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletic Club: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Athletic Club ML moved from +220 to +195
Roma ML moved from +132 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-142o2¼+100o2¼-112o2¼-102o2¼-112o2-142o2¼-102
Underu2¼-110u2+120u2¼-120u2¼-108u2¼-118u2¼-108u2¼-108u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120-o2½+120-o2½+115o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-102
Underu2½-140-u2½-140-u2½-145u2½-140u2½-140u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.81%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.78%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 034.23%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 028.66%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.13%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 060.87%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 056.07%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.39%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals12.20%
Wins by 3+ goals3.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals17.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletic Club
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal19.32%
Wins by 2 goals8.62%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals11.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.41%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.19%9.81%
1.567.42%32.58%
2.540.98%59.02%
3.520.51%79.49%
4.58.63%91.37%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.77%34.23%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.40%90.60%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.34%28.66%
1.535.53%64.47%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.87%34.13%
1.529.18%70.82%
2.59.46%90.54%
3.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletic Club
Roma
Score012345
0
9.81%
12.26%
7.66%
3.19%
1.00%
0.25%
1
10.52%
13.14%
8.21%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
5.64%
7.05%
4.40%
1.83%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.01%
2.52%
1.57%
0.66%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.54%
0.67%
0.42%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-010.52%
2-05.64%
2-17.05%
3-02.01%
3-12.52%
3-21.57%
4-00.54%
4-10.67%
4-20.42%
4-30.18%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.81%
1-113.14%
2-24.40%
3-30.66%
Roma
0-112.26%
0-27.66%
1-28.21%
0-33.19%
1-33.42%
2-31.83%
0-41.00%
1-41.07%
2-40.57%
3-40.20%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletic Club
Roma
Score01234
0
34.13%
19.75%
5.71%
1.10%
0.16%
1
16.94%
9.80%
2.84%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.21%
2.43%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Athletic Club
1-016.94%
2-04.21%
2-12.43%
3-00.70%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.13%
1-19.80%
2-20.70%
Roma
0-119.75%
0-25.71%
1-22.84%
0-31.10%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%