AZ Alkmaar at Ludogorets

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

34.9%26.3%38.8%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawLudogorets Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.35
2Final Score 2

Ludogorets

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Galatasaray+220
W 1-3 vs Fenerbahce+270
L 0-1 at Tottenham+600
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+560
W 2-3 vs Elfsborg-220
Ludogorets
Money Line
T 0-0 at Lazio+1000
L 2-1 vs Athletic Club+450
L 0-2 at Anderlecht+420
T 0-0 at Viktoria Plzen+360
L 2-0 vs Slavia Prague+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+126+138+135+135+129+135+138+143.1
Ludogorets+213+219+205+230+221+230+230+241.3
Draw+259+227+210+227+220+227+227+238.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+135---+115+140+140+143.1
Ludogorets+205---+185+215+215+241.3
Draw+235---+225+215+225+238.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ludogorets: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ludogorets: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ludogorets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +129 to +120
Ludogorets ML moved from +211 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ludogorets: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ludogorets: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ludogorets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML
No Steam Moves On Ludogorets ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-123o2½+117o2¼+100o2¼-102o2¼-103o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼+107
Underu2½+105u2½-138u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-117u2¼-118u2½-138u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110---o2½+100o2½+125o2½+125o2¼+107
Underu2½-110---u2½-130u2½-145u2½-130u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.37%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 414.20%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.22%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 57.41%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 028.30%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Ludogorets
Exactly 026.05%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.90%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 055.74%
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 29.52%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ludogorets
Exactly 053.64%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 210.40%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals15.08%
Wins by 3+ goals5.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Ludogorets
Wins by 2+ goals17.64%
Wins by 3+ goals6.30%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ludogorets
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal19.79%
Wins by 2 goals9.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Ludogorets
Wins by 1 goal21.09%
Wins by 2 goals11.34%
Wins by 3 goals4.50%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.63%7.37%
1.573.41%26.59%
2.548.35%51.65%
3.526.56%73.44%
4.512.36%87.64%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.70%28.30%
1.535.98%64.02%
2.513.43%86.57%
3.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals Ludogorets Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.95%26.05%
1.538.91%61.09%
2.515.34%84.66%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.10%29.90%
1.534.00%66.00%
2.512.21%87.79%
3.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ludogorets
Score012345
0
7.37%
9.92%
6.67%
2.99%
1.01%
0.27%
1
9.31%
12.52%
8.42%
3.78%
1.27%
0.34%
2
5.87%
7.90%
5.31%
2.38%
0.80%
0.22%
3
2.47%
3.32%
2.24%
1.00%
0.34%
0.09%
4
0.78%
1.05%
0.71%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.26%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-09.31%
2-05.87%
2-17.90%
3-02.47%
3-13.32%
3-22.24%
4-00.78%
4-11.05%
4-20.71%
4-30.32%
5-00.20%
5-10.26%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-07.37%
1-112.52%
2-25.31%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Ludogorets
0-19.92%
0-26.67%
1-28.42%
0-32.99%
1-33.78%
2-32.38%
0-41.01%
1-41.27%
2-40.80%
3-40.34%
0-50.27%
1-50.34%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ludogorets
Score01234
0
29.90%
18.62%
5.80%
1.20%
0.19%
1
17.48%
10.88%
3.39%
0.70%
0.11%
2
5.11%
3.18%
0.99%
0.21%
0.03%
3
0.99%
0.62%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-017.48%
2-05.11%
2-13.18%
3-00.99%
3-10.62%
3-20.19%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-029.90%
1-110.88%
2-20.99%
Ludogorets
0-118.62%
0-25.80%
1-23.39%
0-31.20%
1-30.70%
2-30.21%
0-40.19%
1-40.11%