Sturm Graz at Atalanta

Updated

Sturm Graz

11.6%16.1%72.2%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.92Projected Goals 2.54
0Final Score 1

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Sturm Graz
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+450
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+300
L 0-2 at Midtjylland+240
W 0-1 vs Feyenoord+240
T 2-2 at Lazio+550
Atalanta
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sturm Graz-165
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+220
L 2-0 vs RB Leipzig+170
T 1-1 at RB Leipzig+350
W 1-0 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+988+896+800+975+975+975+975+1028.5
Atalanta-356-329-325-370-370-370-325-299.9
Draw+497+480+475+490+490+490+490+519.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+875----+875+875+1028.5
Atalanta-375-----355-355-299.9
Draw+525----+485+485+519.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 20.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +800 to +775
Atalanta ML moved from -360 to -370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 10.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +950 to +875
Atalanta ML moved from -375 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-104o3-105o3-102o3-102o3-102o3-102o3+107
Underu3-113u3-114u3-115u3-118u3-118u3-118u3-114u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-125o3-120o3-120o3+107
Underu3-115---u3-105u3+100u3+100u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%
 
No44.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.14%
Exactly 218.80%
Exactly 418.77%
Exactly 67.50%
Exactly 81.60%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.86%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 513.00%
Exactly 73.71%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Sturm Graz
Exactly 039.62%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 07.92%
Exactly 120.08%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 413.65%
Exactly 56.92%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.13%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.27%
Exactly 313.82%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sturm Graz
Exactly 065.14%
Exactly 127.92%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 030.91%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sturm Graz
Wins by 2+ goals3.63%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals50.37%
Wins by 3+ goals29.67%
Wins by 4+ goals14.80%
Wins by 5+ goals6.29%
Wins by 6+ goals2.28%
Wins by 7+ goals0.68%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sturm Graz
Wins by 1 goal7.94%
Wins by 2 goals2.75%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal21.76%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals14.88%
Wins by 4 goals8.50%
Wins by 5 goals4.01%
Wins by 6 goals1.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.54%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.86%3.14%
1.586.00%14.00%
2.567.20%32.80%
3.545.51%54.49%
4.526.74%73.26%
5.513.74%86.26%
6.56.24%93.76%
7.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Sturm Graz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.38%39.62%
1.523.70%76.30%
2.56.72%93.28%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.08%7.92%
1.572.00%28.00%
2.546.54%53.46%
3.525.01%74.99%
4.511.37%88.63%
5.54.45%95.55%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.87%20.13%
1.547.60%52.40%
2.521.74%78.26%
3.57.92%92.08%
4.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
Score012345
0
3.14%
7.96%
10.09%
8.53%
5.41%
2.74%
1
2.90%
7.37%
9.34%
7.90%
5.01%
2.54%
2
1.34%
3.41%
4.32%
3.65%
2.32%
1.18%
3
0.41%
1.05%
1.33%
1.13%
0.72%
0.36%
Sturm Graz
1-02.90%
2-01.34%
2-13.41%
3-00.41%
3-11.05%
3-21.33%
Draw
0-03.14%
1-17.37%
2-24.32%
3-31.13%
4-40.17%
Atalanta
0-17.96%
0-210.09%
1-29.34%
0-38.53%
1-37.90%
2-33.65%
0-45.41%
1-45.01%
2-42.32%
3-40.72%
0-52.74%
1-52.54%
2-51.18%
3-50.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Sturm Graz
Atalanta
Score012345
0
20.13%
23.64%
13.88%
5.43%
1.59%
0.37%
1
8.63%
10.13%
5.95%
2.33%
0.68%
0.16%
2
1.85%
2.17%
1.27%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.26%
0.31%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sturm Graz
1-08.63%
2-01.85%
2-12.17%
3-00.26%
3-10.31%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-020.13%
1-110.13%
2-21.27%
Atalanta
0-123.64%
0-213.88%
1-25.95%
0-35.43%
1-32.33%
2-30.50%
0-41.59%
1-40.68%
2-40.15%
0-50.37%
1-50.16%