Lens at Ajaccio

Updated

Lens

45.1%28.3%26.6%
Lens WinDrawAjaccio Win
1.29Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 0

Ajaccio

Last Games

Lens
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Brest-160
T 2-2 vs Monaco+220
W 3-1 at Troyes+100
W 2-1 at Reims+115
T 2-2 vs Nantes-165
Ajaccio
Money Line
L 1-2 at Lyon+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lens+155+135+135-+132-+135+151.5
Ajaccio+202+233+230-+215-+233+249.7
Draw+216+218+215-+219-+219+216.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lens+135---+115+130+130+151.5
Ajaccio+225---+205+230+230+249.7
Draw+215---+200+220+220+216.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lens: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lens: 20.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lens: 0.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lens ML moved from +137 to +128
Ajaccio ML moved from +221 to +215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lens: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lens: 20.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lens: 0.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lens ML moved from +135 to +120
Ajaccio ML moved from +250 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-136o2-126o2¼+108---o2-126o2½+156
Underu2+116u2+108u2¼-128---u2¼-128u2½-156
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140----o2½+135o2½+130o2½+156
Underu2+120----u2½-155u2½-150u2½-156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 54.91%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Lens
Exactly 027.31%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 039.60%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.99%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lens
Exactly 054.83%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 29.90%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 065.12%
Exactly 127.93%
Exactly 25.99%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lens
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.36%
Wins by 4+ goals2.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals9.19%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Lens
Ajaccio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lens
Wins by 1 goal24.35%
Wins by 2 goals13.36%
Wins by 3 goals5.28%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal17.38%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.13%34.87%
2.538.38%61.62%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Lens Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.69%27.31%
1.537.24%62.76%
2.514.24%85.76%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.40%39.60%
1.523.71%76.29%
2.56.73%93.27%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lens
Ajaccio
Score01234
0
10.82%
10.02%
4.64%
1.43%
0.33%
1
14.04%
13.00%
6.02%
1.86%
0.43%
2
9.11%
8.44%
3.91%
1.21%
0.28%
3
3.94%
3.65%
1.69%
0.52%
0.12%
4
1.28%
1.18%
0.55%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.33%
0.31%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Lens
1-014.04%
2-09.11%
2-18.44%
3-03.94%
3-13.65%
3-21.69%
4-01.28%
4-11.18%
4-20.55%
4-30.17%
5-00.33%
5-10.31%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.82%
1-113.00%
2-23.91%
3-30.52%
Ajaccio
0-110.02%
0-24.64%
1-26.02%
0-31.43%
1-31.86%
2-31.21%
0-40.33%
1-40.43%
2-40.28%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Lens
Ajaccio
Score0123
0
35.71%
15.31%
3.28%
0.47%
1
21.46%
9.20%
1.97%
0.28%
2
6.45%
2.77%
0.59%
0.08%
3
1.29%
0.55%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Lens
1-021.46%
2-06.45%
2-12.77%
3-01.29%
3-10.55%
3-20.12%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-035.71%
1-19.20%
2-20.59%
Ajaccio
0-115.31%
0-23.28%
1-21.97%
0-30.47%
1-30.28%