Lorient at Metz

Updated

Lorient

30.5%27.7%41.8%
Lorient WinDrawMetz Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 1

Metz

Last 5 Games

Lorient
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Le Havre+205
L 0-3 at Lille+1100
L 0-4 at Brest+440
L 2-1 vs Strasbourg+140
L 4-2 vs Marseille+375
Metz
Money Line
L 0-5 at Paris Saint-Germain+1400
W 0-1 vs Angers+125
W 2-3 vs Lyon+650
T 2-2 at Montpellier+350
L 1-0 vs Brest+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lorient+230+304+290+326+323+326+326+341.0
Metz+120+109+110+107+103+107+110+114.3
Draw+235+219+210+215+219+215+219+226.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lorient+245---+225+320+320+341.0
Metz+125---+110+100+110+114.3
Draw+215---+190+220+220+226.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lorient: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Metz: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lorient: 20.0%
Metz: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lorient: 10.0%
Metz: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lorient ML moved from +314 to +304
Metz ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lorient: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Metz: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lorient: 20.0%
Metz: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lorient: 10.0%
Metz: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Lorient ML
Metz ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-118o2-120o2-116o2-114o2-116o2-114o2-105
Underu2¼-115u2+100u2+100u2-104u2-104u2-104u2+100u2+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120----o2-115o2-115o2-105
Underu2½+100----u2-105u2-105u2+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+100 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.24%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.23%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Lorient
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Metz
Exactly 027.32%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.47%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lorient
Exactly 061.04%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Metz
Exactly 054.84%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 29.90%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lorient
Wins by 2+ goals11.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Metz
Wins by 2+ goals18.92%
Wins by 3+ goals6.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Lorient
Metz
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lorient
Wins by 1 goal18.76%
Wins by 2 goals8.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Metz
Wins by 1 goal22.84%
Wins by 2 goals12.26%
Wins by 3 goals4.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.36%31.64%
2.542.08%57.92%
3.521.37%78.63%
4.59.14%90.86%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Lorient Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.86%71.14%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Metz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.68%27.32%
1.537.23%62.77%
2.514.23%85.77%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.53%33.47%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.85%90.15%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lorient
Metz
Score012345
0
9.41%
12.21%
7.92%
3.42%
1.11%
0.29%
1
10.03%
13.01%
8.44%
3.65%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.35%
6.94%
4.50%
1.95%
0.63%
0.16%
3
1.90%
2.47%
1.60%
0.69%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.51%
0.66%
0.43%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Lorient
1-010.03%
2-05.35%
2-16.94%
3-01.90%
3-12.47%
3-21.60%
4-00.51%
4-10.66%
4-20.43%
4-30.18%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-113.01%
2-24.50%
3-30.69%
Metz
0-112.21%
0-27.92%
1-28.44%
0-33.42%
1-33.65%
2-31.95%
0-41.11%
1-41.18%
2-40.63%
3-40.22%
0-50.29%
1-50.31%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Lorient
Metz
Score01234
0
33.47%
20.11%
6.04%
1.21%
0.18%
1
16.52%
9.93%
2.98%
0.60%
0.09%
2
4.08%
2.45%
0.74%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.67%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Lorient
1-016.52%
2-04.08%
2-12.45%
3-00.67%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.47%
1-19.93%
2-20.74%
Metz
0-120.11%
0-26.04%
1-22.98%
0-31.21%
1-30.60%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%