Nantes at Paris S-G

Updated

Nantes

6.6%13.1%80.3%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.68
1Final Score 2

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Nantes
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Le Havre+105
L 1-0 vs Reims+185
L 0-4 at Lens+450
W 0-2 vs Montpellier+190
W 2-1 at Strasbourg+230
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 2-0 at Le Havre-355
W 2-5 vs Monaco-220
W 3-0 at Reims-185
W 0-3 vs Montpellier-420
W 0-3 vs Strasbourg-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nantes+1228+856+750+875+837+875+875+908.3
Paris S-G-464-336-335-350-343-350-335-303.3
Draw+604+507+500+550+521+550+550+572.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nantes+1000----+925+925+908.3
Paris S-G-415-----400-400-303.3
Draw+550----+550+550+572.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nantes: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nantes: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nantes ML moved from +870 to +837
Paris S-G ML moved from -335 to -345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nantes: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nantes: 20.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nantes ML moved from +1000 to +925
Paris S-G ML moved from -415 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-103o3½+104o3¼-118o3¼-112o3¼-114o3¼-112o3¼-112o3¼-102
Underu3½-113u3½-122u3¼-102u3¼-108u3¼-104u3¼-108u3½-122u3¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105----o3½+105o3½+105o3¼-102
Underu3½-115----u3½-125u3½-125u3¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-115 to u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-105 to o3½-125
The Under moved from u3½+105 to u3½-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.62%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 418.30%
Exactly 66.72%
Exactly 81.32%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.01%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 512.14%
Exactly 73.18%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Nantes
Exactly 052.55%
Exactly 133.81%
Exactly 210.88%
Exactly 32.33%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 06.89%
Exactly 118.43%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 57.87%
Exactly 63.51%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.51%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 313.01%
Exactly 51.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nantes
Exactly 074.24%
Exactly 122.12%
Exactly 23.29%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nantes
Wins by 2+ goals1.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals59.49%
Wins by 3+ goals37.31%
Wins by 4+ goals19.85%
Wins by 5+ goals9.05%
Wins by 6+ goals3.57%
Wins by 7+ goals1.22%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nantes
Wins by 1 goal4.99%
Wins by 2 goals1.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal20.78%
Wins by 2 goals22.18%
Wins by 3 goals17.47%
Wins by 4 goals10.80%
Wins by 5 goals5.48%
Wins by 6 goals2.35%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.38%3.62%
1.584.37%15.63%
2.564.43%35.57%
3.542.38%57.62%
4.524.08%75.92%
5.511.94%88.06%
6.55.22%94.78%
7.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Nantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.45%52.55%
1.513.64%86.36%
2.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.11%6.89%
1.574.68%25.32%
2.550.03%49.97%
3.528.04%71.96%
4.513.34%86.66%
5.55.48%94.52%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.49%21.51%
1.545.43%54.57%
2.520.04%79.96%
3.57.03%92.97%
4.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
3.62%
9.68%
12.95%
11.55%
7.73%
4.13%
1
2.33%
6.23%
8.34%
7.43%
4.97%
2.66%
2
0.75%
2.00%
2.68%
2.39%
1.60%
0.86%
3
0.16%
0.43%
0.58%
0.51%
0.34%
0.18%
Nantes
1-02.33%
2-00.75%
2-12.00%
3-00.16%
3-10.43%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-03.62%
1-16.23%
2-22.68%
3-30.51%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-19.68%
0-212.95%
1-28.34%
0-311.55%
1-37.43%
2-32.39%
0-47.73%
1-44.97%
2-41.60%
3-40.34%
0-54.13%
1-52.66%
2-50.86%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Nantes
Paris Saint-Germain
Score0123456
0
21.51%
26.65%
16.50%
6.81%
2.11%
0.52%
0.11%
1
6.41%
7.94%
4.92%
2.03%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.95%
1.18%
0.73%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Nantes
1-06.41%
2-00.95%
2-11.18%
Draw
0-021.51%
1-17.94%
2-20.73%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-126.65%
0-216.50%
1-24.92%
0-36.81%
1-32.03%
2-30.30%
0-42.11%
1-40.63%
0-50.52%
1-50.16%
0-60.11%