France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Marseille		14.2%
65.9%		19.9%
+650
-217
+675
-260
1
3		-0.39672-0.37541-0.41764
Auxerre
Lens		9.6%
74.8%		15.6%
+900
-291
+850
-310
0
1		-0.32439-0.33012-0.29057
Marseille
Troyes		49.9%
24.1%		26.0%
-139
+433
-150
+425
2
0		-0.55739-0.55982-0.69613
Lens
Strasbourg		40.7%
32.1%		27.2%
+115
+290
+105
+280
2
2		-1.22878-1.25727-1.30092
Angers
Paris Saint-Germain		3.4%
88.3%		8.3%
+1750
-488
+1500
-600
0
2		-0.19458-0.20168-0.12436
Monaco
Lorient		42.7%
30.8%		26.4%
-119
+357
-125
+320
2
2		-1.39841-1.40985-1.33090
Montpellier
Nice		14.8%
65.6%		19.6%
+350
-110
+330
-115
1
6		-0.66279-0.67368-0.42144
Lyon
Nantes		52.6%
23.4%		24.0%
+106
+271
+100
+280
0
0		-1.34511-1.30048-1.42903
Toulouse
Auxerre		29.8%
43.7%		26.5%
+151
+203
+145
+195
5
0		-0.94089-0.94505-1.21130
Reims
Ajaccio		31.4%
36.6%		32.0%
+144
+247
+135
+230
1
0		-0.90736-0.90429-1.15788
Rennes
Clermont Foot		47.6%
25.8%		26.6%
-101
+335
-105
+305
1
2		-1.48413-1.44655-1.35425
Lille
Brest		42.6%
30.6%		26.8%
-111
+347
-115
+320
0
0		-1.33808-1.33044-1.31781
Nice
Rennes		21.3%
54.7%		24.0%
+364
-117
+345
-125
1
2		-0.64238-0.63709-0.60417
Marseille
Montpellier		53.9%
22.3%		23.7%
-154
+445
-160
+440
2
1		-0.52679-0.53485-0.61713
Reims
Lille		12.5%
67.5%		20.1%
+475
-159
+440
-165
1
1		-1.46067-1.44253-1.60545
Troyes
Strasbourg		21.0%
54.4%		24.6%
+320
-110
+290
-110
3
2		-1.46326-1.41022-1.56213
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.