France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lens
Reims 		42.2%
30.0%		27.8%
+148
+196
+145
+190
1.30
1.04		2.34
o2½-112
u2½+103
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Nov 28, 2024
Games for Nov 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Rennes		23.3%
56.1%		20.6%
+600
-201
+580
-220
0
2		-0.43144-0.42534-0.57880
Nantes
Strasbourg		23.7%
55.0%		21.3%
+347
-105
+360
-125
0
1		-0.67162-0.63726-0.59778
Bordeaux
Reims		25.6%
49.4%		25.0%
+325
-107
+290
+100
0
5		-0.68943-0.74244-0.70526
Clermont Foot
Nice		22.8%
56.0%		21.2%
+460
-143
+500
-185
1
0		-1.73966-1.84421-1.47648
Lens
Lorient		40.5%
32.6%		26.9%
+135
+240
+120
+245
0
2		-1.23491-1.28471-1.12061
Lyon
Monaco		30.6%
45.9%		23.5%
+269
+110
+255
+110
0
2		-0.76288-0.78460-0.77932
Montpellier
Saint-Etienne		35.6%
36.7%		27.8%
+224
+146
+200
+145
1
3		-0.91549-0.94410-1.00302
Angers
Marseille		19.6%
62.9%		17.5%
+750
-200
+630
-200
2
5		-0.41446-0.45479-0.46316
Marseille
Lyon		28.2%
48.1%		23.7%
+165
+198
+160
+190
1
2		-1.11234-1.11541-0.73245
Saint-Etienne
Angers		26.2%
50.3%		23.5%
+270
+124
+255
+120
1
0		-1.32520-1.30545-1.34052
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		8.4%
83.9%		7.7%
+1400
-400
+1450
-500
0
4		-0.23785-0.23274-0.17518
Monaco
Montpellier		44.0%
31.5%		24.5%
-104
+332
-115
+335
2
3		-1.47473-1.51941-1.15423
Lorient
Nantes		31.0%
42.6%		26.4%
+276
+130
+270
+120
2
4		-0.84607-0.83979-0.85296
Rennes
Clermont Foot		31.3%
39.4%		29.3%
-121
+359
-130
+360
1
2		-1.55542-1.57417-0.93115
Strasbourg
Bordeaux		36.2%
35.3%		28.4%
-126
+360
-130
+335
3
4		-1.54947-1.52037-1.03996
Troyes
Angers		27.2%
47.6%		25.2%
+327
+110
+315
+105
1
2		-0.75984-0.76791-0.74248
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/24/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (10-0-2, 32 pts)23.73.76.777.796.5%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (8-2-2, 26 pts)17.88.18.061.52.6%71.1%21.3%0.0%
3Marseille (7-3-2, 23 pts)16.29.68.156.90.3%40.7%37.6%0.0%
4Lille (6-2-4, 22 pts)16.07.910.158.00.6%49.4%31.1%0.0%
5Nice (5-2-5, 20 pts)13.19.411.450.80.0%11.7%28.5%0.1%
6Lyon (5-3-4, 19 pts)14.09.910.152.10.0%13.0%31.1%0.0%
7Auxerre (6-5-1, 19 pts)11.315.96.740.70.0%0.3%1.6%7.9%
8Reims (5-4-3, 18 pts)11.413.39.343.40.0%1.5%5.0%2.3%
9Lens (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.29.611.250.80.0%9.9%26.1%0.2%
10Toulouse (4-5-3, 15 pts)11.613.39.143.90.0%1.5%6.5%3.4%
11Strasbourg (3-5-4, 13 pts)10.713.210.242.20.0%0.1%3.8%6.1%
12Brest (4-7-1, 13 pts)11.315.67.141.00.0%0.2%2.2%8.4%
13Saint-Etienne (4-7-1, 13 pts)10.216.87.037.70.0%0.2%0.3%20.5%
14Le Havre (4-8-0, 12 pts)10.017.96.136.20.0%0.0%0.2%27.7%
15Rennes (3-7-2, 11 pts)11.414.38.342.50.0%0.4%3.6%5.8%
16Nantes (2-6-4, 10 pts)9.014.910.237.10.0%0.0%0.9%22.7%
17Angers (2-6-4, 10 pts)7.716.310.033.10.0%0.0%0.2%49.8%
18Montpellier (2-9-1, 7 pts)8.917.97.234.00.0%0.0%0.0%45.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.