Lille at Toulouse

Updated

Lille

49.5%25.7%24.9%
Lille WinDrawToulouse Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.01
2Final Score 0

Toulouse

Last 5 Games

Lille
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Lyon-125
T 1-1 at Lens+200
W 1-2 vs Brest-275
L 3-4 at Paris Saint-Germain+410
W 0-2 vs Strasbourg-225
Toulouse
Money Line
W 2-0 at Angers-105
L 1-0 vs Clermont Foot-150
L 0-3 at Reims+255
L 3-2 vs Marseille+300
W 1-3 vs Rennes+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lille+112+104+100+102+104+102+104+109.3
Toulouse+237+250+240+260+259+260+260+273.0
Draw+269+279+290+280+282+280+290+293.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lille+110----110+100+100+109.3
Toulouse+235---+220+260+260+273.0
Draw+260---+245+265+265+293.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lille: 20.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lille: 0.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lille ML moved from +115 to +109
Toulouse ML moved from +260 to +254

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lille: 10.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lille: 0.0%
Toulouse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lille ML moved from +115 to +105
Toulouse ML moved from +245 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o3-105o3-112o3-107o2½-164o3-107o3-105o3+103
Underu3-133u3-111u3-108u3-113u2½+149u3-113u3-108u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110----o3-110o3-110o3+103
Underu3-130----u3-110u3-110u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-124 to o3-118
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.66%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.05%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 021.61%
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 312.95%
Exactly 44.96%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Toulouse
Exactly 036.57%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 049.19%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 212.38%
Exactly 32.93%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toulouse
Exactly 062.77%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lille
Wins by 2+ goals25.21%
Wins by 3+ goals10.15%
Wins by 4+ goals3.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Toulouse
Wins by 2+ goals8.93%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Lille
Toulouse
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lille
Wins by 1 goal24.17%
Wins by 2 goals15.06%
Wins by 3 goals6.87%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Toulouse
Wins by 1 goal15.86%
Wins by 2 goals6.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.04%27.96%
2.546.59%53.41%
3.525.06%74.94%
4.511.40%88.60%
5.54.46%95.54%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.39%21.61%
1.545.29%54.71%
2.519.93%80.07%
3.56.97%93.03%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Toulouse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.43%36.57%
1.526.64%73.36%
2.58.14%91.86%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.84%67.16%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lille
Toulouse
Score01234
0
7.90%
7.95%
4.00%
1.34%
0.34%
1
12.11%
12.18%
6.13%
2.05%
0.52%
2
9.27%
9.33%
4.69%
1.57%
0.40%
3
4.74%
4.76%
2.40%
0.80%
0.20%
4
1.81%
1.83%
0.92%
0.31%
0.08%
5
0.56%
0.56%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Lille
1-012.11%
2-09.27%
2-19.33%
3-04.74%
3-14.76%
3-22.40%
4-01.81%
4-11.83%
4-20.92%
4-30.31%
5-00.56%
5-10.56%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-112.18%
2-24.69%
3-30.80%
Toulouse
0-17.95%
0-24.00%
1-26.13%
0-31.34%
1-32.05%
2-31.57%
0-40.34%
1-40.52%
2-40.40%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Lille
Toulouse
Score0123
0
30.88%
14.38%
3.35%
0.52%
1
21.90%
10.20%
2.38%
0.37%
2
7.77%
3.62%
0.84%
0.13%
3
1.84%
0.86%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Lille
1-021.90%
2-07.77%
2-13.62%
3-01.84%
3-10.86%
3-20.20%
4-00.33%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-030.88%
1-110.20%
2-20.84%
Toulouse
0-114.38%
0-23.35%
1-22.38%
0-30.52%
1-30.37%
2-30.13%