Union Berlin at Holstein Kiel

Updated

Union Berlin

52.0%23.3%24.7%
Union Berlin WinDrawHolstein Kiel Win
1.78Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 0

Holstein Kiel

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Dortmund+271
L 0-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+245
W 1-2 vs Hoffenheim-120
T 0-0 at RB Leipzig+590
W 0-1 vs FC St. Pauli-110
Holstein Kiel
Money Line
T 2-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+2700
L 4-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+275
T 2-2 at VfL Bochum+320
L 6-1 vs Bayern Munich+1175
L 2-0 vs Wolfsburg+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+113+107+105+106+102+106+107+113.3
Holstein Kiel+257+270+255+282+270+282+282+295.5
Draw+245+250+255+247+247+247+255+259.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+115-+105--115+115+115+113.3
Holstein Kiel+245-+270-+260+245+270+295.5
Draw+240-+240-+225+240+240+259.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +115 to +106
Holstein Kiel ML moved from +275 to +264

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +100 to -115
No Steam Moves On Holstein Kiel ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-109o2½-124o2½-122o2½-120o2½-122o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu2½-108u2½+106u2½+102u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+106u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-105o2½-105o2½-109
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-105u2½-115u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.35%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 416.39%
Exactly 64.68%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.67%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.59%
Exactly 71.96%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 016.94%
Exactly 130.07%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 315.80%
Exactly 47.02%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 031.59%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.78%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 310.70%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 043.95%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 058.65%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 28.35%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals28.76%
Wins by 3+ goals12.88%
Wins by 4+ goals4.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.45%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals9.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal23.16%
Wins by 2 goals15.88%
Wins by 3 goals8.13%
Wins by 4 goals3.29%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal15.03%
Wins by 2 goals6.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.65%5.35%
1.578.98%21.02%
2.556.05%43.95%
3.533.66%66.34%
4.517.28%82.72%
5.57.68%92.32%
6.53.00%97.00%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.06%16.94%
1.552.99%47.01%
2.526.29%73.71%
3.510.48%89.52%
4.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.41%31.59%
1.532.01%67.99%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.22%25.78%
1.539.28%60.72%
2.515.59%84.41%
3.54.88%95.12%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
Score01234
0
5.35%
6.17%
3.55%
1.36%
0.39%
1
9.50%
10.95%
6.31%
2.42%
0.70%
2
8.44%
9.72%
5.60%
2.15%
0.62%
3
4.99%
5.75%
3.31%
1.27%
0.37%
4
2.22%
2.55%
1.47%
0.57%
0.16%
5
0.79%
0.91%
0.52%
0.20%
0.06%
Union Berlin
1-09.50%
2-08.44%
2-19.72%
3-04.99%
3-15.75%
3-23.31%
4-02.22%
4-12.55%
4-21.47%
4-30.57%
5-00.79%
5-10.91%
5-20.52%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.35%
1-110.95%
2-25.60%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
Holstein Kiel
0-16.17%
0-23.55%
1-26.31%
0-31.36%
1-32.42%
2-32.15%
0-40.39%
1-40.70%
2-40.62%
3-40.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
Score0123
0
25.78%
13.75%
3.67%
0.65%
1
21.19%
11.31%
3.02%
0.54%
2
8.71%
4.65%
1.24%
0.22%
3
2.39%
1.27%
0.34%
0.06%
4
0.49%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-021.19%
2-08.71%
2-14.65%
3-02.39%
3-11.27%
3-20.34%
4-00.49%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-025.78%
1-111.31%
2-21.24%
Holstein Kiel
0-113.75%
0-23.67%
1-23.02%
0-30.65%
1-30.54%
2-30.22%