Freiburg at Werder Bremen

Updated

Freiburg

33.6%26.1%40.3%
Freiburg WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.39
2Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Bayern Munich+573
T 1-1 vs Hertha BSC-120
T 1-1 at Mainz 05+300
W 1-2 vs Hoffenheim-120
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+198
Werder Bremen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Mainz 05+360
L 2-1 vs Hoffenheim+120
T 2-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach+300
L 3-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+250
L 1-2 at Augsburg+217

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+155+171+170+175+180+175+180+184.7
Werder Bremen+170+171+170+177+178+177+178+186.8
Draw+250+230+225+222+231+222+231+233.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+150-+168-+160+165+168+184.7
Werder Bremen+175-+168-+135+165+168+186.8
Draw+250-+226-+215+240+240+233.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +177 to +171
Werder Bremen ML moved from +170 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +181 to +168
Werder Bremen ML moved from +150 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½+115o2¼-108o2¼-112o2½+123o2¼-112o2¼-108o2¼-102
Underu2½-102u2½-135u2¼-112u2¼-108u2½-138u2¼-108u2½-135u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-115o2½+112-o2½+100o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-102
Underu2½+105u2½-105u2½-132-u2½-130u2½-135u2½-105u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.84%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 028.71%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 024.87%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 224.08%
Exactly 311.17%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 51.08%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 056.12%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.37%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 052.50%
Exactly 133.83%
Exactly 210.90%
Exactly 32.34%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals14.35%
Wins by 3+ goals4.78%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals18.79%
Wins by 3+ goals6.90%
Wins by 4+ goals2.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal19.24%
Wins by 2 goals9.56%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals1.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal21.45%
Wins by 2 goals11.89%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.02%25.98%
2.549.15%50.85%
3.527.26%72.74%
4.512.82%87.18%
5.55.20%94.80%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.29%28.71%
1.535.46%64.54%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.13%24.87%
1.540.53%59.47%
2.516.45%83.55%
3.55.28%94.72%
4.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.53%87.47%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
7.14%
9.94%
6.91%
3.21%
1.12%
0.31%
1
8.91%
12.40%
8.63%
4.00%
1.39%
0.39%
2
5.56%
7.74%
5.38%
2.50%
0.87%
0.24%
3
2.31%
3.22%
2.24%
1.04%
0.36%
0.10%
4
0.72%
1.00%
0.70%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.25%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-08.91%
2-05.56%
2-17.74%
3-02.31%
3-13.22%
3-22.24%
4-00.72%
4-11.00%
4-20.70%
4-30.32%
5-00.18%
5-10.25%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-112.40%
2-25.38%
3-31.04%
4-40.11%
Werder Bremen
0-19.94%
0-26.91%
1-28.63%
0-33.21%
1-34.00%
2-32.50%
0-41.12%
1-41.39%
2-40.87%
3-40.36%
0-50.31%
1-50.39%
2-50.24%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
29.46%
18.98%
6.12%
1.31%
0.21%
1
17.02%
10.97%
3.53%
0.76%
0.12%
2
4.92%
3.17%
1.02%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.95%
0.61%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-017.02%
2-04.92%
2-13.17%
3-00.95%
3-10.61%
3-20.20%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-029.46%
1-110.97%
2-21.02%
Werder Bremen
0-118.98%
0-26.12%
1-23.53%
0-31.31%
1-30.76%
2-30.22%
0-40.21%
1-40.12%