Union Berlin at Mainz 05

Updated

Union Berlin

29.3%25.5%45.2%
Union Berlin WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.51
1Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Freiburg-108
L 2-3 at FC Koln+170
L 4-3 vs VfL Bochum-105
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+188
L 5-1 vs Bayern Munich+400
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 3-1 at Wolfsburg+120
W 0-3 vs Dortmund+115
T 1-1 at FC Heidenheim+145
T 1-1 vs FC Koln-177
T 1-1 at Freiburg+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+286+280+270+285+287+285+287+298.6
Mainz 05+108+109+105+110+108+110+110+117.4
Draw+233+235+240+234+238+234+240+245.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+305-+282-+265+285+285+298.6
Mainz 05+100-+105--115+105+105+117.4
Draw+230-+230-+215+230+230+245.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Union Berlin: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +270 to +260
Mainz 05 ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Union Berlin: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +285 to +265
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+124o2½+103o2½+105o2½+104o2½+105o2½+104o2½+105o2½+113
Underu2½-146u2½-121u2½-125u2½-124u2½-121u2½-124u2½-121u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+110o2½+105-o2½+105o2½+105o2½+110o2½+113
Underu2½-145u2½-130u2½-125-u2½-135u2½-125u2½-125u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.36%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 022.03%
Exactly 133.32%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 312.71%
Exactly 44.81%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.90%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.21%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 058.22%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.52%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 049.63%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.18%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals11.82%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals22.44%
Wins by 3+ goals8.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal17.49%
Wins by 2 goals8.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal22.65%
Wins by 2 goals13.60%
Wins by 3 goals6.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.79%25.21%
2.550.18%49.82%
3.528.18%71.82%
4.513.43%86.57%
5.55.52%94.48%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.97%22.03%
1.544.65%55.35%
2.519.44%80.56%
3.56.73%93.27%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.10%28.90%
1.535.23%64.77%
2.512.96%87.04%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.85%
10.36%
7.84%
3.95%
1.49%
0.45%
1
8.00%
12.10%
9.16%
4.62%
1.75%
0.53%
2
4.67%
7.07%
5.35%
2.70%
1.02%
0.31%
3
1.82%
2.75%
2.08%
1.05%
0.40%
0.12%
4
0.53%
0.80%
0.61%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-08.00%
2-04.67%
2-17.07%
3-01.82%
3-12.75%
3-22.08%
4-00.53%
4-10.80%
4-20.61%
4-30.31%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.85%
1-112.10%
2-25.35%
3-31.05%
4-40.12%
Mainz 05
0-110.36%
0-27.84%
1-29.16%
0-33.95%
1-34.62%
2-32.70%
0-41.49%
1-41.75%
2-41.02%
3-40.40%
0-50.45%
1-50.53%
2-50.31%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
28.90%
20.24%
7.09%
1.66%
0.29%
1
15.63%
10.95%
3.84%
0.90%
0.16%
2
4.23%
2.96%
1.04%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.76%
0.53%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-015.63%
2-04.23%
2-12.96%
3-00.76%
3-10.53%
3-20.19%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-028.90%
1-110.95%
2-21.04%
Mainz 05
0-120.24%
0-27.09%
1-23.84%
0-31.66%
1-30.90%
2-30.24%
0-40.29%
1-40.16%
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