Augsburg at Mainz 05

Updated

Augsburg

28.7%22.9%48.4%
Augsburg WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.83
1Final Score 4

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Augsburg
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Arminia Bielefeld+117
L 1-2 at Dortmund+1200
L 0-3 at Freiburg+360
W 0-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+250
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+401
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-3 at Dortmund+614
L 2-1 vs Union Berlin+115
L 0-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+365
T 0-0 vs Freiburg-105
W 2-0 at Hoffenheim+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+360+450+380+528-+380+528+543.6
Mainz 05-130-155-155-155--155-155-145.8
Draw+285+285+290+288-+290+290+297.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+415-+492-+375+525+525+543.6
Mainz 05-140--162--160-170-160-145.8
Draw+270-+276-+230+285+285+297.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Augsburg: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 10.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Augsburg ML moved from +395 to +380
Mainz 05 ML moved from -149 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Augsburg: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 10.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Augsburg ML moved from +520 to +475
Mainz 05 ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¼-122o2¼-126o2¼-118-o2¼-126o2¼-118o2¼-112
Underu2½-105u2¼+102u2¼+106u2¼+107-u2¼+106u2¼+107u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+105o2½+108-o2½+100o2½+105o2½+108o2¼-112
Underu2½-130u2½-125u2½-128-u2½-130u2½-125u2½-125u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.5%
 
No44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.84%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.48%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Augsburg
Exactly 033.85%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 016.08%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.36%
Exactly 47.47%
Exactly 52.73%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.98%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Augsburg
Exactly 060.56%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.62%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 042.91%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Augsburg
Wins by 2+ goals8.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals31.09%
Wins by 3+ goals14.30%
Wins by 4+ goals5.42%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Augsburg
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Augsburg
Wins by 1 goal14.01%
Wins by 2 goals5.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal23.64%
Wins by 2 goals16.79%
Wins by 3 goals8.88%
Wins by 4 goals3.71%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.71%21.29%
2.555.65%44.35%
3.533.28%66.72%
4.517.00%83.00%
5.57.52%92.48%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Augsburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.15%33.85%
1.529.48%70.52%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.92%16.08%
1.554.53%45.47%
2.527.68%72.32%
3.511.32%88.68%
4.53.84%96.16%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.02%25.98%
1.539.00%61.00%
2.515.40%84.60%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Augsburg
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.44%
9.95%
9.09%
5.54%
2.53%
0.92%
1
5.90%
10.78%
9.85%
6.00%
2.74%
1.00%
2
3.19%
5.84%
5.33%
3.25%
1.48%
0.54%
3
1.15%
2.11%
1.93%
1.17%
0.54%
0.20%
4
0.31%
0.57%
0.52%
0.32%
0.15%
0.05%
Augsburg
1-05.90%
2-03.19%
2-15.84%
3-01.15%
3-12.11%
3-21.93%
4-00.31%
4-10.57%
4-20.52%
4-30.32%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-110.78%
2-25.33%
3-31.17%
4-40.15%
Mainz 05
0-19.95%
0-29.09%
1-29.85%
0-35.54%
1-36.00%
2-33.25%
0-42.53%
1-42.74%
2-41.48%
3-40.54%
0-50.92%
1-51.00%
2-50.54%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Augsburg
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
25.98%
21.99%
9.30%
2.62%
0.55%
1
13.03%
11.03%
4.67%
1.32%
0.28%
2
3.27%
2.77%
1.17%
0.33%
0.07%
3
0.55%
0.46%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Augsburg
1-013.03%
2-03.27%
2-12.77%
3-00.55%
3-10.46%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-025.98%
1-111.03%
2-21.17%
Mainz 05
0-121.99%
0-29.30%
1-24.67%
0-32.62%
1-31.32%
2-30.33%
0-40.55%
1-40.28%