Dortmund at Werder Bremen

Updated

Dortmund

45.7%24.0%30.3%
Dortmund WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.67Projected Goals 1.32
0Final Score 0

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-130
W 0-4 vs Darmstadt 98-870
L 0-3 at Mainz 05+265
W 1-5 vs Augsburg+105
L 1-4 at RB Leipzig+420
Werder Bremen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Augsburg+175
W 1-4 vs VfL Bochum+115
T 1-1 at RB Leipzig+660
T 2-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+120
W 3-0 at Augsburg+353

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+100-109-110-107-110-107-107+100.4
Werder Bremen+252+285+275+281+279+281+285+294.6
Draw+291+286+295+290+296+290+296+304.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-124--110--130-110-110+100.4
Werder Bremen+283-+260-+240+265+265+294.6
Draw+310-+298-+275+295+298+304.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from -108 to -114
Werder Bremen ML moved from +278 to +272

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
Werder Bremen ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+107o3-114o3-110o3-110o3-109o3-110o3-109o3+100
Underu3½-126u3-103u3-110u3-110u3-105u3-110u3-103u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3-125o3-115-o3½+110o3-120o3-115o3+100
Underu3½-135u3+105u3-105-u3½-140u3+100u3½-140u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%
 
No40.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.04%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 416.73%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.07%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.99%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 018.84%
Exactly 131.45%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 314.60%
Exactly 46.09%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 026.78%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.24%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.09%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 311.06%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 046.17%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.79%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 054.33%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.11%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals23.93%
Wins by 3+ goals10.10%
Wins by 4+ goals3.51%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals13.08%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.77%
Wins by 2 goals13.82%
Wins by 3 goals6.60%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal17.19%
Wins by 2 goals8.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.96%5.04%
1.579.89%20.11%
2.557.39%42.61%
3.534.98%65.02%
4.518.25%81.75%
5.58.26%91.74%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.16%18.84%
1.549.71%50.29%
2.523.47%76.53%
3.58.86%91.14%
4.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.22%26.78%
1.537.94%62.06%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.91%25.09%
1.540.22%59.78%
2.516.24%83.76%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
5.04%
6.65%
4.38%
1.92%
0.63%
0.17%
1
8.42%
11.10%
7.31%
3.21%
1.06%
0.28%
2
7.03%
9.26%
6.10%
2.68%
0.88%
0.23%
3
3.91%
5.15%
3.39%
1.49%
0.49%
0.13%
4
1.63%
2.15%
1.42%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.54%
0.72%
0.47%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Dortmund
1-08.42%
2-07.03%
2-19.26%
3-03.91%
3-15.15%
3-23.39%
4-01.63%
4-12.15%
4-21.42%
4-30.62%
5-00.54%
5-10.72%
5-20.47%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.04%
1-111.10%
2-26.10%
3-31.49%
4-40.20%
Werder Bremen
0-16.65%
0-24.38%
1-27.31%
0-31.92%
1-33.21%
2-32.68%
0-40.63%
1-41.06%
2-40.88%
3-40.49%
0-50.17%
1-50.28%
2-50.23%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
25.09%
15.30%
4.67%
0.95%
0.14%
1
19.39%
11.83%
3.61%
0.73%
0.11%
2
7.49%
4.57%
1.39%
0.28%
0.04%
3
1.93%
1.18%
0.36%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.37%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-019.39%
2-07.49%
2-14.57%
3-01.93%
3-11.18%
3-20.36%
4-00.37%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-025.09%
1-111.83%
2-21.39%
Werder Bremen
0-115.30%
0-24.67%
1-23.61%
0-30.95%
1-30.73%
2-30.28%
0-40.14%
1-40.11%