Freiburg at Hoffenheim

Updated

Freiburg

38.4%25.8%35.8%
Freiburg WinDrawHoffenheim Win
1.39Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 1

Hoffenheim

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+105
L 0-4 at Dortmund+337
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+210
T 0-0 vs Mainz 05-125
L 1-3 at RB Leipzig+315
Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 0-2 at Mainz 05+269
W 3-4 vs RB Leipzig+225
T 0-0 at Augsburg+255
L 2-0 vs FC St. Pauli-110
T 0-0 at FC Heidenheim+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+183+192+195+202+191+202+202+212.7
Hoffenheim+148+151+145+151+146+151+151+159.9
Draw+252+234+230+227+228+227+234+238.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+170-+186-+150+190+186+212.7
Hoffenheim+155-+150-+140+150+150+159.9
Draw+245-+230-+220+225+240+238.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 10.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +200 to +192
Hoffenheim ML moved from +158 to +151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 20.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +190 to +180
Hoffenheim ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o2½-112o2½-110o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½-107o2½+103
Underu3-133u2½-105u2½-110u2½-113u2½-112u2½-113u2½-105u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-120o2½-105-o2½-145o2½-120o2½-105o2½+103
Underu2½+120u2½+100u2½-115-u2½+115u2½+100u2½+115u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+125 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.0%
 
No45.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.67%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.07%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 025.10%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 026.59%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 310.30%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.56%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 052.73%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.80%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 054.16%
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 210.18%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals17.71%
Wins by 3+ goals6.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals15.92%
Wins by 3+ goals5.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Hoffenheim
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal20.68%
Wins by 2 goals11.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal19.82%
Wins by 2 goals10.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.33%6.67%
1.575.26%24.74%
2.550.81%49.19%
3.528.74%71.26%
4.513.81%86.19%
5.55.73%94.27%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.90%25.10%
1.540.21%59.79%
2.516.23%83.77%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.41%26.59%
1.538.18%61.82%
2.514.86%85.14%
3.54.56%95.44%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.44%28.56%
1.535.66%64.34%
2.513.23%86.77%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Score012345
0
6.67%
8.84%
5.85%
2.58%
0.86%
0.23%
1
9.23%
12.22%
8.09%
3.57%
1.18%
0.31%
2
6.38%
8.45%
5.59%
2.47%
0.82%
0.22%
3
2.94%
3.89%
2.58%
1.14%
0.38%
0.10%
4
1.02%
1.35%
0.89%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.28%
0.37%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-09.23%
2-06.38%
2-18.45%
3-02.94%
3-13.89%
3-22.58%
4-01.02%
4-11.35%
4-20.89%
4-30.39%
5-00.28%
5-10.37%
5-20.25%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.67%
1-112.22%
2-25.59%
3-31.14%
4-40.13%
Hoffenheim
0-18.84%
0-25.85%
1-28.09%
0-32.58%
1-33.57%
2-32.47%
0-40.86%
1-41.18%
2-40.82%
3-40.38%
0-50.23%
1-50.31%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Hoffenheim
Score01234
0
28.56%
17.51%
5.37%
1.10%
0.17%
1
18.28%
11.21%
3.44%
0.70%
0.11%
2
5.85%
3.59%
1.10%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.25%
0.77%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.20%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-018.28%
2-05.85%
2-13.59%
3-01.25%
3-10.77%
3-20.23%
4-00.20%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-028.56%
1-111.21%
2-21.10%
Hoffenheim
0-117.51%
0-25.37%
1-23.44%
0-31.10%
1-30.70%
2-30.22%
0-40.17%
1-40.11%