St. Pauli at Freiburg

Updated

FC St. Pauli

20.2%21.4%58.4%
St. Pauli WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.09Projected Goals 2.00
3Final Score 0

Freiburg

Last Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
T 0-0 vs RB Leipzig+400
L 1-3 at Augsburg+277
L 0-1 at Union Berlin+310
L 2-0 vs FC Heidenheim+105
Freiburg
Money Line
W 3-0 at FC Heidenheim+125
W 1-2 vs VfL Bochum-165
L 0-2 at Bayern Munich+1190
W 1-3 vs VfB Stuttgart+275
L 1-2 at Union Berlin+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+390-+440+530+490+530+530+551.8
Freiburg-150--165-170-177-170-165-155.5
Draw+300-+320+306+315+306+320+320.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+425-+502-+465+500+502+551.8
Freiburg-160--175--215-180-175-155.5
Draw+310-+300-+275+310+310+320.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 20.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +500 to +490
Freiburg ML moved from -140 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 20.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +475 to +465
Freiburg ML moved from -190 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112-o2½-122o2¾-115o2¾-114o2¾-115o2½-122o2¾-104
Underu2½-108-u2½+102u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-140o2½-130o2½-130o2¾-104
Underu2½+105u2½+110u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+110u2½+110u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.56%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 417.27%
Exactly 65.49%
Exactly 80.93%
 
Exactly 114.08%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.67%
Exactly 72.42%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 033.61%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.98%
Exactly 37.26%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 013.57%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.02%
Exactly 49.00%
Exactly 53.59%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 51.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 060.36%
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 27.69%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 039.67%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.96%
Exactly 35.23%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals7.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals34.91%
Wins by 3+ goals17.12%
Wins by 4+ goals6.96%
Wins by 5+ goals2.36%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
Freiburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal12.75%
Wins by 2 goals5.29%
Wins by 3 goals1.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals17.78%
Wins by 3 goals10.16%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.44%4.56%
1.581.35%18.65%
2.559.61%40.39%
3.537.24%62.76%
4.519.96%80.04%
5.59.30%90.70%
6.53.81%96.19%
7.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.39%33.61%
1.529.75%70.25%
2.59.77%90.23%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.43%13.57%
1.559.32%40.68%
2.532.25%67.75%
3.514.24%85.76%
4.55.24%94.76%
5.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.83%58.17%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
Freiburg
Score012345
0
4.56%
9.11%
9.10%
6.06%
3.02%
1.21%
1
4.97%
9.93%
9.92%
6.60%
3.30%
1.32%
2
2.71%
5.42%
5.41%
3.60%
1.80%
0.72%
3
0.99%
1.97%
1.97%
1.31%
0.65%
0.26%
4
0.27%
0.54%
0.54%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
FC St. Pauli
1-04.97%
2-02.71%
2-15.42%
3-00.99%
3-11.97%
3-21.97%
4-00.27%
4-10.54%
4-20.54%
4-30.36%
Draw
0-04.56%
1-19.93%
2-25.41%
3-31.31%
4-40.18%
Freiburg
0-19.11%
0-29.10%
1-29.92%
0-36.06%
1-36.60%
2-33.60%
0-43.02%
1-43.30%
2-41.80%
3-40.65%
0-51.21%
1-51.32%
2-50.72%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
Freiburg
Score012345
0
23.94%
22.14%
10.24%
3.15%
0.73%
0.13%
1
12.09%
11.18%
5.17%
1.59%
0.37%
0.07%
2
3.05%
2.82%
1.30%
0.40%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.47%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-012.09%
2-03.05%
2-12.82%
3-00.51%
3-10.47%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-023.94%
1-111.18%
2-21.30%
Freiburg
0-122.14%
0-210.24%
1-25.17%
0-33.15%
1-31.59%
2-30.40%
0-40.73%
1-40.37%
0-50.13%