Union Berlin at Dortmund

Updated

Union Berlin

7.5%12.6%79.9%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.91
1Final Score 2

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 0-3 vs VfB Stuttgart+117
W 0-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+135
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+205
T 0-0 vs FC Koln-105
L 0-3 at Bayern Munich+665
Dortmund
Money Line
L 2-4 at Bayern Munich+475
W 1-6 vs FC Koln-195
T 2-2 at Schalke 04-120
W 1-2 vs RB Leipzig+125
W 1-0 at Hoffenheim-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+390+413+400+440+427+440+440+458.4
Dortmund-145-148-155-155-150-155-148-142.6
Draw+300+302+320+315+316+315+320+329.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+450-+440-+400+430+440+458.4
Dortmund-165--155--190-155-155-142.6
Draw+310-+285-+270+290+290+329.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +427 to +421
Dortmund ML moved from -142 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +490 to +430
Dortmund ML moved from -172 to -187

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-138o2¾-110o2¾-108o2½-135o2¾-108o2½-135o2¾+102
Underu2½-110u2½+116u2¾-110u2¾-112u2½+120u2¾-112u2¾-110u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120o2½-122-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2¾+102
Underu2½+100u2½+100u2½+102-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+102u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.42%
Exactly 216.75%
Exactly 419.34%
Exactly 68.93%
Exactly 82.21%
Exactly 100.34%
 
Exactly 19.00%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 514.40%
Exactly 74.75%
Exactly 90.91%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 044.32%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.67%
Exactly 33.98%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 05.45%
Exactly 115.87%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.27%
Exactly 59.46%
Exactly 64.59%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 60.65%
 
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 068.61%
Exactly 125.85%
Exactly 24.87%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 026.01%
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 310.59%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals2.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals60.45%
Wins by 3+ goals39.35%
Wins by 4+ goals21.98%
Wins by 5+ goals10.61%
Wins by 6+ goals4.45%
Wins by 7+ goals1.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal5.42%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal19.37%
Wins by 2 goals21.10%
Wins by 3 goals17.37%
Wins by 4 goals11.38%
Wins by 5 goals6.16%
Wins by 6 goals2.83%
Wins by 7 goals1.13%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.58%2.42%
1.588.58%11.42%
2.571.84%28.16%
3.551.05%48.95%
4.531.71%68.29%
5.517.31%82.69%
6.58.38%91.62%
7.53.63%96.37%
8.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.68%44.32%
1.519.62%80.38%
2.54.94%95.06%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.55%5.45%
1.578.68%21.32%
2.555.61%44.39%
3.533.23%66.77%
4.516.96%83.04%
5.57.50%92.50%
6.52.91%97.09%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.40%48.60%
2.524.90%75.10%
3.59.67%90.33%
4.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Dortmund
Score012345
0
2.42%
7.03%
10.23%
9.91%
7.21%
4.19%
1
1.97%
5.72%
8.32%
8.07%
5.87%
3.41%
2
0.80%
2.33%
3.39%
3.28%
2.39%
1.39%
3
0.22%
0.63%
0.92%
0.89%
0.65%
0.38%
Union Berlin
1-01.97%
2-00.80%
2-12.33%
3-00.22%
3-10.63%
3-20.92%
Draw
0-02.42%
1-15.72%
2-23.39%
3-30.89%
4-40.13%
Dortmund
0-17.03%
0-210.23%
1-28.32%
0-39.91%
1-38.07%
2-33.28%
0-47.21%
1-45.87%
2-42.39%
3-40.65%
0-54.19%
1-53.41%
2-51.39%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
17.84%
24.03%
16.18%
7.26%
2.45%
0.66%
0.15%
1
6.72%
9.05%
6.10%
2.74%
0.92%
0.25%
0.06%
2
1.27%
1.71%
1.15%
0.52%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.21%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-06.72%
2-01.27%
2-11.71%
3-00.16%
3-10.21%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-017.84%
1-19.05%
2-21.15%
Dortmund
0-124.03%
0-216.18%
1-26.10%
0-37.26%
1-32.74%
2-30.52%
0-42.45%
1-40.92%
2-40.17%
0-50.66%
1-50.25%
0-60.15%