Leverkusen at Dortmund

Updated

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

35.6%25.5%39.0%
Leverkusen WinDrawDortmund Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.44
1Final Score 3

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin-106
T 0-0 at Werder Bremen-105
W 1-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+120
L 0-2 at Bayern Munich+515
W 0-3 vs FC Koln-158
Dortmund
Money Line
W 3-1 at Mainz 05-260
W 2-3 vs RB Leipzig+135
W 2-0 at Wolfsburg+110
W 0-2 vs Union Berlin-196
W 1-4 vs Werder Bremen-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+352+406+400+440+406+440+440-
Dortmund-141-183-180-180-190-180-180-
Draw+309+389+380+385+382+385+389-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leverkusen+415-+415-+350+450+450-
Dortmund-165--180--200-180-180-
Draw+320-+365-+320+340+365-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 50.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +450 to +440
Dortmund ML moved from -195 to -203

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leverkusen: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leverkusen: 50.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leverkusen: 20.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leverkusen ML moved from +422 to +415
Dortmund ML moved from -189 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3¾-118o3½-140o3¾-114-o3¾-114o3½-140-
Underu3¼-105u3¾-104u3½+115u3¾-106-u3¾-106u3¾-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-130o4+110-o4-115o3½-130o3½-130-
Underu3½-105u3½+110u4-130-u4-115u3½+110u4-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-109 to o3¾-128
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-135 to o4-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%
 
No44.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.58%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 026.91%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 310.14%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.99%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 054.46%
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 210.06%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 051.40%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals15.13%
Wins by 3+ goals5.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals18.98%
Wins by 3+ goals7.11%
Wins by 4+ goals2.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal19.22%
Wins by 2 goals9.90%
Wins by 3 goals3.78%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.06%
Wins by 2 goals11.87%
Wins by 3 goals4.97%
Wins by 4 goals1.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.03%23.97%
2.551.86%48.14%
3.529.70%70.30%
4.514.46%85.54%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.09%26.91%
1.537.76%62.24%
2.514.58%85.42%
3.54.44%95.56%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.01%27.99%
1.536.37%63.63%
2.513.68%86.32%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leverkusen
Dortmund
Score012345
0
6.39%
9.19%
6.60%
3.17%
1.14%
0.33%
1
8.39%
12.06%
8.67%
4.15%
1.49%
0.43%
2
5.51%
7.92%
5.69%
2.73%
0.98%
0.28%
3
2.41%
3.46%
2.49%
1.19%
0.43%
0.12%
4
0.79%
1.14%
0.82%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.21%
0.30%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-08.39%
2-05.51%
2-17.92%
3-02.41%
3-13.46%
3-22.49%
4-00.79%
4-11.14%
4-20.82%
4-30.39%
5-00.21%
5-10.30%
5-20.21%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-112.06%
2-25.69%
3-31.19%
4-40.14%
Dortmund
0-19.19%
0-26.60%
1-28.67%
0-33.17%
1-34.15%
2-32.73%
0-41.14%
1-41.49%
2-40.98%
3-40.43%
0-50.33%
1-50.43%
2-50.28%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Leverkusen
Dortmund
Score01234
0
27.99%
18.63%
6.20%
1.38%
0.23%
1
17.01%
11.32%
3.77%
0.84%
0.14%
2
5.17%
3.44%
1.14%
0.25%
0.04%
3
1.05%
0.70%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-017.01%
2-05.17%
2-13.44%
3-01.05%
3-10.70%
3-20.23%
4-00.16%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-027.99%
1-111.32%
2-21.14%
Dortmund
0-118.63%
0-26.20%
1-23.77%
0-31.38%
1-30.84%
2-30.25%
0-40.23%
1-40.14%