Hoffenheim at Dortmund

Updated

Hoffenheim

14.1%16.9%69.0%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.08Projected Goals 2.53
0Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Augsburg-230
W 3-0 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+405
W 2-3 vs VfL Bochum-165
L 1-3 at Borussia Monchengladbach+227
L 1-5 at Borussia Monchengladbach+210
Dortmund
Money Line
W 1-0 at Hertha BSC-139
L 3-2 vs Werder Bremen-270
W 3-1 at Freiburg+130
W 0-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+105
W 1-2 vs Hertha BSC-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+350+319+295+310+285+310+319+332.8
Dortmund-150-126-125-128-127-128-125-116.9
Draw+320+311+295+335+315+335+335+334.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+354-+312-+325+320+325+332.8
Dortmund-165--130--190-135-130-116.9
Draw+365-+300-+320+320+320+334.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +305 to +285
Dortmund ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +316 to +305
Dortmund ML moved from -157 to -164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3½+118o3¼-102o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3¼-102o3½+127
Underu3¼+102u3½-140u3¼-118u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3½-140u3½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-106o3½+125o3½+125-o3½+100o3½+125o3½+125o3½+127
Underu3½-114u3½-145u3½-145-u3½-130u3½-145u3½-130u3½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3½-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.6%
 
No39.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.72%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 419.13%
Exactly 68.29%
Exactly 81.93%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.80%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 513.80%
Exactly 74.27%
Exactly 90.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 120.11%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.84%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 46.10%
Exactly 60.57%
 
Exactly 131.44%
Exactly 314.61%
Exactly 52.04%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 060.86%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals4.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals47.34%
Wins by 3+ goals27.51%
Wins by 4+ goals13.56%
Wins by 5+ goals5.71%
Wins by 6+ goals2.05%
Wins by 7+ goals0.60%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal9.12%
Wins by 2 goals3.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.57%
Wins by 2 goals19.84%
Wins by 3 goals13.95%
Wins by 4 goals7.85%
Wins by 5 goals3.66%
Wins by 6 goals1.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.48%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.28%2.72%
1.587.49%12.51%
2.569.83%30.17%
3.548.60%51.40%
4.529.46%70.54%
5.515.67%84.33%
6.57.37%92.63%
7.53.10%96.90%
8.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.09%70.91%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.95%28.05%
2.546.47%53.53%
3.524.96%75.04%
4.511.33%88.67%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.16%18.84%
1.549.72%50.28%
2.523.47%76.53%
3.58.87%91.13%
4.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
2.72%
6.88%
8.72%
7.36%
4.66%
2.36%
1.00%
1
2.91%
7.38%
9.35%
7.89%
5.00%
2.53%
1.07%
2
1.56%
3.96%
5.01%
4.23%
2.68%
1.36%
0.57%
3
0.56%
1.41%
1.79%
1.51%
0.96%
0.49%
0.21%
4
0.15%
0.38%
0.48%
0.41%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
Hoffenheim
1-02.91%
2-01.56%
2-13.96%
3-00.56%
3-11.41%
3-21.79%
4-00.15%
4-10.38%
4-20.48%
4-30.41%
Draw
0-02.72%
1-17.38%
2-25.01%
3-31.51%
4-40.26%
Dortmund
0-16.88%
0-28.72%
1-29.35%
0-37.36%
1-37.89%
2-34.23%
0-44.66%
1-45.00%
2-42.68%
3-40.96%
0-52.36%
1-52.53%
2-51.36%
3-50.49%
4-50.13%
0-61.00%
1-61.07%
2-60.57%
3-60.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Score012345
0
18.84%
22.09%
12.96%
5.07%
1.49%
0.35%
1
9.35%
10.97%
6.43%
2.52%
0.74%
0.17%
2
2.32%
2.72%
1.60%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.38%
0.45%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-09.35%
2-02.32%
2-12.72%
3-00.38%
3-10.45%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-018.84%
1-110.97%
2-21.60%
3-30.10%
Dortmund
0-122.09%
0-212.96%
1-26.43%
0-35.07%
1-32.52%
2-30.62%
0-41.49%
1-40.74%
2-40.18%
0-50.35%
1-50.17%